The depression in eastcentral Bay of Bengal has shifted in a southwest direction in the last 24 hours and is now positioned 610 km north-northeast off Port Blair. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather system was reported to be at latitude 17° north and longitude 91° east at 7:30 am. As per the latest update, the visible cloud mass associated with the weather system has further moved to southern latitude.
Though some weather models are downgrading the system as a well marked low pressure area due to its uncharacteristic movement, chances of the system growing further has increased as it is now away from the land in the deep sea where more convection over warm water is likely to strengthen it, according to Skymet Meteorology Division in India.
The wind sheer which is important for the strengthening of any such system is also of medium level so chances of it getting dissipated is also very less. Had the wind sheer been strong, its chances of getting weak could have been high as it could have dismantled the energy associated with the weather system, observes Skymet Meteorology Department.
Since its emergence as a cyclonic circulation over north Andaman Sea, the weather system is showing lot of uncertainty. It has not been an organized weather system yet. It is frequently disorganizing and changing its location. Weathermen at Skymet are keeping a close eye on the weather system and will keep updating the status.
