After the deluge on 28thJune, monsoon activity is mostly silent over Delhi and suburbs. Base observatory at Safdarjung has recorded mere 10.2mm rainfall between 01st and 09thJuly, including 9 mm of single day on 04thJuly 2024. Other days, it has merely been a slight leak with only traces of rainfall over most parts. Similar conditions are likely during this week and an uptick, if at all, can be expected only next week.
Monsoon trough, the main driver of weather activity is lying very close and south of Delhi, in the lower levels. The wind pattern is very light and variable at and above 5000 feet. Therefore, the winds are quite unsettled below the friction level. Such pattern remains very conducive for off and on, fleeting showers mostly of light intensity.
July is the second rainiest month with over 200mm of normal rainfall. Monsoon showers are unlikely to pick up during the first half of July. Monsoon trough will have a tendency to shift north of base over Uttar Pradesh. Weather activity with typical monsoon showers will shift to Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh after about 48 hours. Delhi will have cloud cover restricting any abrupt rise of temperature.
However, the rains will remain scanty and light on most occasions. Moderate showers are expected, in between, for a day or so, on 12thJuly. Day and night temperatures are likely to hang around mid 30’s and mid 20’s, respectively. In the absence of decent showers, sultry conditions are likely, more so, during afternoon and evening hours.
Image Credit: ANI/X
