Fresh western disturbance has arrived over the northern mountains. The induced cyclonic circulation over north Punjab and border areas, earlier looking noteworthy, has now weakened. Delhi, as such, was on the outer fringes of the main system and now, that chance of having some fleeting showers seems to have receded. Scattered clouds appeared in the morning, ahead of the main system. However, a fair amount of sunshine is expected in the forenoon and afternoon hours. A few clouds will still drift in later towards evening, but unlikely to have the desired sprinkle.
Capital City is inching towards resuming normal seasonal profile, over the next one week or ten days. The minimum temperatures have already reached to low teens. These are unlikely to drop significantly and by no chance plunge to a single digit. The maximum temperatures also have crossed the threshold of mid-20s, as observed in the last week and now are safely parked in the low 30’s. The minimum temperature is expected to be 14°C( +/- 1°C) and maximum advancing towards the normal but staying at 30°C (+/- 1°C) till the end of 3rd week.
The current western disturbance is expected to move away, by tomorrow. In the wake of the system, the temperatures may ease out by about a degree or two for 48 hours. No major fluctuation is likely and weather conditions are generally going to stay pleasant. The next western disturbance, with the potential of influencing weather in the plains and Delhi, is unlikely before next weekend, around 22nd-23rd March. The month of March has precedence of touching or exceeding 35°C, once or twice. It has touched even 40°C also, in the past. It has reached a maximum of 31.4°C, so far, on 11th March 2024. An abrupt rise is quite likely during the last week of the month.
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