Presently, the eastern and the northeastern pockets of the country are deficit. Earlier, it was the state of Gujarat which was observing a massive deficiency in terms of rains but due to the recent spell of hefty showers, the state has come on the positive side.
Thus, Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, Northeast India and West Bengal are rain deficient. Since the rainfall deficiency is also persisting over Northeast India, which is the rainiest pocket, the total rain deficit area pan India is 22 percent.
The most rain deficient pockets are East and West Uttar Pradesh with 47 and 45 percent deficiency, respectively. Bihar is rain deficient by 46 percent and Jharkhand by 40 percent followed by 25 percent deficiency in West Bengal.
[yuzo_related]
In Northeast India, Arunachal Pradesh as well as Assam and Meghalaya are rain deficit by 33 percent, each, while Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura (NMMT) is rain deficient by 22 percent. These areas are usually rainier than North India but that hasn’t been the case this year.
About ten days are left of the core Monsoon month in July, and any significant deficiency leaves a little sense of worry. Rains over these areas occur mostly in view of systems forming in Bay of Bengal and moving towards these areas.
This time, all of these systems of the Bay have taken a westerly track moving towards Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat leaving these areas deficit in terms of rains.
The Monsoon trough is also running south of its usual position which has further caused in lesser rains. A low pressure area has formed in the Northwest Bay of Bengal and will have a northerly track due to which rains are likely over Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and Jharkhand around July 21. Rainfall may even occur towards the end of the month around July 28 and 30.
However, Northeast India will remain rain deficient with rains not being as happy as they should be.
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Please Note: Any information picked from here must be attributed to skymetweather.com