Cyclone Titli has finally formed in the Bay of Bengal. Currently the system is near Latitude 14.9°N and Longitude 86.6°E about 510 km southeast of Gopalpur in Odisha and 460 km eastsoutheast of Kalingapatnam in Andhra Pradesh). It is very likely to intensify further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm by tomorrow. Now, the system is likely to move north northwestwards and will be 100 km short of coast by tomorrow night.
Moreover, the system is likely to cross coast by the morning of October 11 near Gopalpur. Winds are about 70 kmph gusting up to 85 kmph which will further pick up pace.
The system is not expected to go deep inside and almost move along the coast of Odisha, West Bengal, Bangladesh recurving towards Northeast India along Tripura and Mizoram.
Thus, very heavy rains, even three digit rainfall is possible over North Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Odisha as well as adjoining West Bengal. Rains will also be hefty over Bangladesh as well as Northeast India.
The system will first give very heavy rains over North Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Odisha along with West Bengal after which Bangladesh as well as Northeast India will see heavy showers.
Storms that form after the month of October follow a similar track where they do affect West Bengal and Odisha. Since Monsoon has withdrawn thus systems do not go deep inside and move along the coast only.
This rainfall activity is expected to be a four-day event between October 10 and 13 wherein hefty showers will be seen in many parts.
Image Credit: wikipedia
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