Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh remain two prominent pockets, on the eastern side, deprived of satisfactory monsoon activity, this season. Earlier, Jharkhand and West Bengal also had a similar picture, but recovered, adequately now. There are a few other pockets in different parts having similar conditions, even around the finish line of the monsoon season. Arunachal Pradesh in Northeast India: Punjab, Himachal and J & K in the northern region: Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh on the eastern front are the main losers, of monsoon bounty.
There is some recovery likely over Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh during this week. Scattered to fairly widespread monsoon showers are likely between the 25th and 29th of September over these two sub-divisions. In East Uttar Pradesh, some of the districts like Jaunpur, Kushi Nagar, Sitapur, Deoria, Azamgarh, Ballia and Fatehpur are highly deficit of seasonal rainfall. In the state of Bihar, the list is longer to include Araria, Begusarai, Bhabua, Bhagalpur, Darbhanga, Champaran, Jahanabad, Madhubani, Vaishali and Saran. These are many other districts, just on the borderline of being deficit to scanty.
There is a likely low-pressure area coming up in the Bay of Bengal, shortly. This may even become well-marked and move across the central parts of the country during this week. This weather system is likely to cross the Odisha-Andhra Coast sometime tomorrow. Further, it is expected to track across Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and South Rajasthan. This activity will happen between the 23rd and 30th of September 2024.
While the weather system will reach over the central & western parts of Madhya Pradesh and North Maharashtra, the eastern end of the monsoon trough is likely to shift north of its normal position, at and above the friction level of 3,000 feet. The weather system, as well marked cyclonic circulation, is likely to meander over parts of Gujarat, North Madhya Maharashtra, Southwest Madhya Pradesh and South Rajasthan and spend about nearly 5-6 days, between the 25th and 30th of September. This will be the time when the western end of the monsoon trough will be active, while positioned north of its normal place. Decent monsoon showers are likely over East Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, where these are needed the most before the monsoon calls it a day.
Image Courtesy: India.Com
