A developing low-pressure area over the equatorial Indian Ocean and southeastern Arabian Sea has captured the attention of weather experts. While not posing a threat of intensifying into a depression or cyclone, the system might still bring some much-needed rain to parts of India.
Usually, most of the weather systems move northwestward towards Oman and Yemen. The low-pressure area is likely to become well-marked. However, historical data suggests a 20-30% chance of such systems deviating from their usual path and recurving northeastward towards the Indian coast.
Should this re-curvature occur, the low-pressure area could bring rainfall to Karnataka and South Maharashtra as early as January 3rd. Kerala and coastal Karnataka are also expected to receive rain, followed by light to moderate showers in interior Karnataka, parts of Maharashtra, Telangana, and Andhra Pradesh.
However, meteorologists emphasize that sea surface temperatures and other key weather parameters are not conducive to further strengthening the system. Therefore, the likelihood of it intensifying into a depression or cyclone remains low.
Despite the limited intensity, the potential for rain offers a positive outlook for drought-stricken regions of southern India. Farmers and water management authorities will certainly keep a close eye on the evolving situation and its potential impact on rainfall patterns.
While the forecast remains uncertain, one thing is for sure: the Arabian Sea low-pressure area is a system worth watching for its potential to alleviate dry conditions in parts of India. Stay tuned for further updates as the weather system unfolds.
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