During this Pre-Monsoon season so far (March 1-May 31) West Uttar Pradesh has received good rains due to which the region is surplus by 40%. Meanwhile, East Uttar Pradesh lies in the normal category with a deficiency of about 7%.
The reason for these good rains over the western parts of Uttar Pradesh can be attributed to successive Western Disturbance’s and their induced cyclonic circulation’s over the northern plains. However, by the time these weather systems move eastwards, they weaken leading to decreased rains over the eastern parts of the state.
At present, a Western Disturbance lies over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu and Kashmir. Its induced cyclonic circulation is over West Rajasthan and adjoining Central Pakistan. A trough is extending from this circulation up to Southwest Uttar Pradesh.
During the last 24 hours, almost all the parts of Uttar Pradesh witnessed dry weather conditions. Now we expect rains to commence over West Uttar Pradesh by today evening, reducing thereafter.
Short spells of rain and thundershower activities with gusty strong winds will be observed in Agra, Aligarh, Badaun, Baghpat, Bareilly, Bijnore, Bulandshehar, Etah, Gautam Buddha Nagar, Ghaziabad, Hapur, Jyotiba Phule Nagar, Kaneshiro Nagar, Kheri, Mahamaya Nagar, Mathura, Meerut, Moradabad, Muzaffarnagar, Pilibhit, Rampur, Saharanpur, Sambal, Shahjahanpur and Shamli districts of Uttar Pradesh during the next 12 hours.
By March 12, the weather conditions over the entire state will become dry for a short period as another spell of rain will commence over the western parts of Uttar Pradesh by the evening of March 13.
This weather system, which will be much more active in nature, will cover central and eastern parts of the state by March 15.
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