Northeast monsoon, not only made delayed start but a sluggish one as well. Monsoon rains have been sub par so far over all the five sub divisions, namely Tamil Nadu, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema, Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Last three sub divisions have accumulated large deficiency and making timely recovery a difficult preposition. However, reasonably good showers are expected across the region, for the next one week.
Since the onset of northeast monsoon on 21stOctober, the sub divisions have received sporadic showers. State of Kerala has performed satisfactorily. Tamil Nadu and Puducherry have also received conciliatory showers on few days. The other three sub divisions performed rather poorly with shortfall climbing as high as 90%. However, reasonably decent weather activity is expected during this week and extending to the next one as well.
Much awaited north-south trough in the easterlies is marked over southwest Bay of Bengal, off Tamil Nadu coast. Also, a cyclonic circulation is lying over Gulf of Mannar and adjoining parts. An uptick in the weather activity, covering all the sub divisions of northeast monsoon is likely.
South Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema have reeled under distressing parched conditions, on account of scanty rainfall. Under the influence of the above stated weather systems, recovery rains are likely till middle of November, with small pause, in between. Decent showers are expected over Bengaluru, Mysuru, Mandya, Chamarajanagara, Ramanagara, Hassan and Chitradurga of South Interior Karnataka. Rayalaseema sub division including Anantapur, Kurnool, Chittoor and Tirupathi are expected to witness scattered moderate showers during this period. This may marginally recover the large deficit of both these sub divisions. Kerala and Tamil Nadu will have the bigger share with showers lashing right up to the interior parts of the states.