Skymet weather

Monsoon rain in Mumbai to intensify after 24 hrs; rainfall activities to increase over NE

Monsoon rain is expected to intensify over the commercial capital Mumbai after the next 24 hours. Moderate rain, with a one or two heavy spells, is expected in Mumbai on Saturday, 15th of June. The total amount of rainfall would be around 40 mm of rain on this day.

Traffic woes could make a comeback on Sunday and Monday as widespread rainfall with a few heavy spells are expected to lash the commercial capital. Rainfall could be in excess of 100 mm on both these days.

Temperature will also fall in the city by 2 degrees from the expected 30 degrees on Sunday to 28 degrees on Monday. Sky will be mostly cloudy. Humidity levels in the city will remain very high. Moist winds from the Arabian Sea will prevail over the city during the period.

Weather in Delhi will continue to witness fluctuation in temperatures like the one experienced during the last 24 hours. Yesterday’s maximum temperature dropped to below normal by 6 degrees due to rain and partly cloudy sky. The temperature is expected to again rise on Saturday to fall on Sunday.

Central India will be full of monsoon rainfall activities during the next two days as the low pressure area over coastal Orissa is making progress. The weather system now lies over central Orissa and will move west-northwestward from its present position.

Monsoon rain has remained weak in east and northeast India during the last 48 hours. It is expected to increase during the next two days. The west-northwestward movement of the weather system in central India will allow moisture influx in east and northeast India from the Bay of Bengal to increase rainfall during the period.

Excessive monsoon rain to continue in most parts of central/southern India

Skymet’s weather model indicates excessive monsoon rainfall for West coast, Peninsular and central India again during the next two weeks. East India where performance of monsoon has been weak will also join these areas during this phase.

Monsoon rains have been excessive during the first two weeks after its arrival in Kerala coast.

Kerala region has received 51 percent above average rain from 1st to 13th of June. Coastal Karnataka and Konkan & Goa received 41 and 120 percent more rain than the average. Saurashtra and Kutch and Gujarat region have received above average rainfall by 301 and 78 percent respectively.

Tamil Nadu, south interior Karnataka and north interior Karnataka have received 41, 41 and 53 percent above average monsoon rain respectively. Drought hit regions of Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and Vidarbha have received 82, 32 and 96 percent above normal rainfall during the period.

Telangana and Rayalaseema in Andhra Pradesh have received 112 and 61 percent extra monsoon rain.

Orissa, Chhattisgarh and east Madhya Pradesh in east central India have got 58, 155 and 132 percent more rainfall than the average. West Madhya Pradesh has received 161 percent extra rainfall do far.

Monsoon rain in Jharkhand has been near average with 18 and percent more rain while West Bengal and Sikkim in the region has received 32 and 9 percent less rainfall during the period.

Pre-monsoon showers have also been in excess over Punjab, West Rajasthan, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Delhi during the period. Punjab and west Rajasthan received 71 and 81 percent more rain. Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand received 62 and 68 percent more rainfall during the period.

Uttar Pradesh and Bihar received 49 and 27 percent extra rain through pre-monsoon activities. Rain will increase in these regions once monsoon lands during the next two weeks.

Meanwhile, monsoon rains are expected to reach some more parts of Rajasthan, remaining parts of Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Sikkim and some parts of east Uttar Pradesh and Bihar in a couple of days.

The low pressure area that is expected to boost rain over Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat during the next few days lies over central Orissa and will move west-northwestwards.

The western part of Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) will advance a bit northwards during the next two days. The NLM is passing through Udaipur, Guna, Satna, Ranchi, Behrampore, Jalpaiguri and Gangtok. NLM indicates the leading edge of monsoon system.

Weekend monsoon rain in Mumbai

Rain and clouds with gusting winds at 50 to 60 kmph from the Arabian Sea are approaching Mumbai coast, expected to reach in 24 to 36 hours. These moisture-laden winds would slow down to a speed of 10 to 20 kmph, some 50 to 100 km before they hit the city’s coast, thus causing fair amount of rainfall during the weekend, especially on Sunday.

Mumbai is expected to receive 25 mm of rain on Friday while 35 mm on Saturday. So if you are planning to go outdoors and enjoy the rain especially at the beaches then this would be perfect weather to do so. But better remain indoors on Sunday and enjoy the day off to avoid traffic woes as some 80mm of rain is expected.

This surge is expected to continue till Monday with about 100mm of rain expected on the first working day of the week. It’s going to be a slow start to a wet week so plan accordingly.

 

Photograph by AbhijeetRane

Weather in major airports in India on 14th June 2013

Indira Gandhi International Airport, Delhi
No Delays – Temperature will rise at Delhi airport. Pre-monsoon showers could occur in some areas of Delhi. Sky will remain generally cloudy. Winds will blow from east and southeast.

Guru Ram Das Jee International Airport, Amritsar
No Delays – Temperature at Amritsar airport will be below average by seven notches. Thunder development and rain could be witnessed. Sky will be generally cloudy. Northeasterly to easterly winds will prevail.

Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow
No Delays – Temperature at Lucknow airport will remain near average. Sky will be partly cloudy. Winds will be easterly.

Lal Bahadur Shashtri International Airport, Varanasi
No Delays – In spite of fall in temperature, Varanasi airport will be hot and humid.  Sky will be partly cloudy. Easterly winds will prevail.

Lok Nayak Jai Prakash Narayan Airport, Patna
No Delays – Hot and humid weather at Patna airport will continue. Sky in Patna will be partly cloudy. Rain is expected in some areas of the city. Easterly to southeasterly winds will prevail.

Netaji Subash Chandra Bose International Airport, Kolkata
No delays – Light rain is expected at Kolkata airport. Temperatures will rise. Sky will be partly cloudy. Southerly winds will prevail.

Bangalore Airport
No delays – Temperature at Bangalore airport will rise. Sky will be generally cloudy. Light rain is expected. Wind direction will be southwest.

 

Photograph by Mukulfaiz

Heavy rain likely over MP, Gujarat, HP, Uttarakhand; pleasant weather to continue in Delhi

Rain is likely to increase over west Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and southeast Rajasthan during the next two days. A spur in rainfall will be witnessed over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during this period. The weather in Delhi will remain pleasant as temperatures will remain below average. Rain will remain subdued over northeastern states.

The well-marked low pressure area over north coastal Andhra Pradesh along the east coast, is expected to move west-northwestwards thus increasing rainfall over Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, south and west Madhya Pradesh and adjoining southeast Rajasthan and Gujarat during the next few days. Heavy rain is also expected at certain places in these regions.

Rain is expected to increase over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Rain could be heavy to very heavy at one or two places in the hills that might result in landslides. A trough in westerlies persists in western parts of northwest India. It will move eastwards during the next 24 to 48 hours. During its movement, rain will be received at many places over Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Heavy to very heavy rain has been forecast in the hills of Uttarakhand.

Due to persistent clouding, temperature in Delhi will remain below the average of 39 degrees during the next two days. Temperature will rise tomorrow to again fall the next day. Humidity level would make afternoons a bit uneasy. Easterly to southeasterly winds would soothe the denizens. Pre-monsoon showers are expected.

Monsoon rain will occur at a few places over Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal. Bihar and Uttar Pradesh could receive showers at one or two places. Temperatures will rise in east India. Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu will have monsoon rains during the next two days. Rain will be light.

Monsoon will be active over Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashra & west MP

[tube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hoBISfcefPo[/tube]

The southwest monsoon is expected to cover some more parts of Rajasthan, remaining parts of Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Sikkim during the next two days. It will also advance in some parts of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh during the period.

The low pressure area over northwest Bay of Bengal near Orissa coast has developed into a 'well marked' low pressure zone and will further move towards west northwest. Areas southwest of this system such as south Gujarat, west Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha, Orissa and north Andhra Pradesh will witness increased monsoon rainfall during the next two days.

The western parts of Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) has progressed during the last 24 hours. The NLM is passing through Udaipur, Guna, Satna, Ranchi, Behrampore, Jalpaiguri and Gangtok. The leading edge of monsoon system will further advance northwards during the next two days. NLM indicates leading edge of the monsoon system below which monsoon rainfall activities take place.

The seasonal offshore trough along the West coast runs from south Gujarat coast to Lakshadweep. Monsoon rain will continue at most of the places along the coast. One or two places in Konkan and Goa, coastal Karnataka and Kerala will have heavy showers.

Monsoon rains have almost dried up in northeast region due to lack of moisture that is pulled in by the weather system hovering in the Peninsular region. One or two places in northeast and sub-Himalayan West Bengal will get rain during the next two days.

Summer working capacity will reduce by 2050

Thank the machines, or the world would come to an end since humans may soon lose their capacity to work in the summer months as global warming doesn’t seem to take a back seat.

Scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration just published a report in Nature Climate Change that details how a warming climate impacts the way we work.

NOAA discovered that over the last 60 years, the hotter, wetter climate has decreased human labor capacity by 10%. And it projects that by 2050, the number will double.

The computer model looked at several internationally-accepted scenarios of the rate at which greenhouse gas emissions are projected to rise over the coming years.

Of which, one scenario projects that the emissions stabilize and fall as the globe switches to renewable fuels. Even in that moderate case, researchers found that by 2050, ‘heat stress’ from working outside or in extremely hot facilities, would reduce work capacity during the summer months by up to 80% of what it is during the rest of the year.

The reasons are simple: we humans can only work so hard in the heat, no matter how hard we try. Humans are endothermic creatures which means we give off heat. If we can't get rid of it faster, we go into hyperthermia. It may get so hot and humid by 2050 that even a sleeping person wouldn't be able to dissipate heat fast enough. In other words, it could turn so hot that it will be nearly impossible to work!

In the worst-case scenario, by 2200, summer work capacity could fall below 40 percent, and New York City would suffer more heat stress than anywhere else on Earth right now. Heat stress in New York City would likely exceed that of present-day Bahrain, while Bahrain would literally be off the map!

John Dunne, the lead author of the NOAA study, says, “the only way to retain labor capacity is to limit global warming to less than 3⁰C.

Jatin Singh, CEO of Skymet Weather presents a different view on the matter, “These studies are practically useless if effects of global warming, leading to changing weather patterns in India and other countries, and the importance of weather in our daily lives are not incorporated as an urgent subject in schools and colleges. Being educated on the matter can take us a long way.”

Weather in major airports in India on 13th June 2013

Indira Gandhi International Airport, Delhi
No Delays – Chances of rain at Delhi airport persist during the evening and night. Sky will be partly cloudy. Winds will blow from southwest.

Guru Ram Das Jee International Airport, Amritsar
No Delays – A significant fall in day temperature is expected at Amritsar airport. Thunder development with rain could be witnessed. Sky will be partly cloudy. Southwesterly winds will prevail.

Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow
No Delays – Temperature at Lucknow airport will rise. Sky will be partly cloudy. Rain may occur in some areas. Winds will be easterly.

Lal Bahadur Shashtri International Airport, Varanasi
No Delays – A very hot and humid weather at Varanasi airport could make air travelers  uncomfortable. Temperature will rise. Sky will be partly cloudy. Rain is expected. Easterly winds will prevail.

Lok Nayak Jai Prakash Narayan Airport, Patna
No Delays – The weather at Patna airport will be hot and humid. Sky in Patna will be partly cloudy. Rain is not expected. Easterly winds will prevail in Patna.

Netaji Subash Chandra Bose International Airport, Kolkata
No delays – Light rain is expected at Kolkata airport. Temperatures will maintain. Sky will be partly cloudy. Southeasterly winds will prevail.

Bangalore Airport
No delays – Generally cloudy weather will continue at Bangalore airport. Light rain is expected. Temperatures will maintain. Wind direction will be southwest.

 

Photograph by Varunshiv

Monsoon treks from Mumbai

Waterlogged roads, the longest traffic snarls and packed local trains are just one facet of Monsoon woes in Mumbai. The other facet, a little tough to imagine, is traveling and trekking in the rain in Mumbai.

Whoever said travelling in the monsoon is always a big no-no couldn’t have been more wrong! Monsoon rain in Mumbai offers numerous options of travelling to the lush green environs and absorbing some of the rich cultural history many boast about.

It’s time to forget the cliché Lonavla and Khandala and visit some less known and less travelled locations around Mumbai.

Lohgad Trek – Lohagad Fort (“Iron fort” in Marathi) is one of the many hill forts of Chatrapati Shivaji. It divides the basins of the Indrayani and Pavna River and is situated on one side range of the Sahyadris. Lohagad has a long history with several dynasties occupying it at different periods of time: Satavahanas, Chalukyas, Rashtrakutas, Yadavas, Bahamanis, Nizamshahis, Mughals and Marathas. Built in the 1700s, this iron fort, which turns lush green in the monsoon months, attracts a number of trekking groups. This 3-hour trek (one way) is one of the longest and most beautiful treks near Mumbai (97kms).

 

 

Lenyadri Caves – Located in the Junnar district, these series of 30 rock cut Buddhist caves, atop a steep hill, are as old as 3rd century AD. The exquisitely carved Lenyadri (meaning mountain caves) caves are another example of the rich cultural history of Maharashtra state. Not to miss, Cave number 7 which is a temple dedicated to the lord Ganesha. It is one of the Ashtavinayak shrines, a set of the eight prominent Ganesha shrines in Maharashtra. The steep climb may take you approximately an hour but the climb will definitely be worth shedding sweat for. Lenyadri caves an easy 170km drive from Mumbai city.

 

 

Malshej Ghat – This picturesque place, 115 kms from Mumbai is a must visit in the monsoon season. This is one serene place which will mesmerize you and take you far away from the hustle bustle of Mumbai city. Therefore for someone who is looking for a peaceful holiday amongst mountains, this is the place to be in. Malshej Ghat is an easy 2 to 3 hour drive and is the best option for a weekend break with friends and family. There are several waterfalls to look out for during a drive to green heaven.

If this list is not enough, you can go for many other options like the Raigard Quila, Pratapgarh fort, Shivneri fort, Bhaja caves, Kurla caves, Korigad fort, or a visit to the peaceful Pangoli village and Bushi Dam.

Warm and humid weather expected in Delhi; rain to bring down temperature in north India

Warm weather with presence of humidity is likely to prevail over Delhi and northwest plains during the next few days. Rain is also expected at many places in Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand in the hills and at a few places in the plains during the period. Southwest monsoon rain will increase over central India but will decrease over northeast states.

After witnessing a fall of almost 10 degrees yesterday, temperature of Delhi will again rise during the next two days but will remain below the average temperature due to pre-monsoon thundershowers and cloudy skies.

Chances of Pre-monsoon rains will be high 15th onwards till 17th of June. Increased moisture influx by the southwesterly winds and rising temperature will result in thunder developments and rain towards evenings and nights.

Weather in north India over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand will be less warm due to drop in temperature. Rain is expected at many places in the hills with partly cloudy or cloudy sky. Srinagar was witnessing above average temperature in the region during past few days but now a fall of 5 degrees will keep the temperatures close to average. Nights will remain warm as temperature is expected to remain above average.

Monsoon rains are expected to increase over central India. Gujarat is expected to experience a period of heavy to very heavy rain between the 16th and 20th June.

Bihar and Uttar Pradesh are yet to come under the ambit of monsoon due to its slow progress but will be covered with monsoon clouds during the next two to three days. Northeast India will receive monsoon rains at a few places however the intensity will be weak.

Monsoon rains likely to increase over central India and Gujarat

[tube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=di2PIiBsco4[/tube]

Monsoon rains are expected to increase gradually over east coast and central India during the next few days. A low pressure area is likely to develop in the Bay of Bengal close to Orissa and Andhra Pradesh coast during the next 24 to 48 hours. The weather system will boost rainfall activities first over Orissa and north coastal Andhra Pradesh and then over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh during the next four to five days.

Another weather system as a cyclonic circulation lies over Gujarat coast near the Arabian Sea. It is predicted that the system from the Bay of Bengal will finally connect with this system thereby bringing bountiful rain over Gujarat 16th of June onwards.

Monsoon rain will continue to occur in east India at many places over Gangetic West Bengal and Jharkhand. Some areas of Bihar, sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim will also receive monsoon showers. Many places in central India over Orissa, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha will receive showers during the next two days.

Most of the places along the West coast will receive moderate to heavy rainfall during the next two days. Konkan, Goa, coastal Karnataka and south Gujarat will also witness heavy to very heavy downpour at one or two places during the period. The seasonal off shore corridor runs from Kerala to Gujarat coast.

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) has shifted a little northward and now passes through Okha, Ahmedabad, Rajgarh, Satna, Ranchi, Behrampur, Jalpaiguri and Gangtok. The NLM indicates leading edge of the monsoon system below which monsoon rainfall activities take place.







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