Skymet weather

Low pressure area in Bay turns into depression, likely to intensify further

The low pressure area in eastcentral Bay of Bengal has developed into a depression and weather conditions are conducive for its further intensification into a deep depression during the next 24 hours. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather system will move initially northwards for sometime and then north-northeastwards, towards Myanmar and adjoining Bangladesh coast in the next two days.

Weather models and climatology suggest that the weather system is following its usual path and its chances of heading towards Indian coast is 20 per cent. There are 50 per cent chances of the system going towards Myanmar, while 30 per cent chances of it moving towards Bangladesh.

The depression currently lies some 500 km north-northwest of Port Blair, 600 km west-southwest of Yangon in Myanmar and 640 km south-southwest of Cox's Bazar in Bangladesh. After emerging as a cyclonic circulation over north Andaman Sea, the weather system has been languishing in north Andaman Sea and then in Eastcentral Bay of Bengal for the last one week or so.

According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather system will help the progress of Southwest Monsoon. The southwesterly winds could reach up to some more parts of eastcentral and northeast Bay of Bengal during the next two days. The western arm of the Monsoon line that lies in southeast Bay of Bengal could also make some progress under the aegis of the evolving weather system.

All eyes on NaMo to mitigate water crisis in Delhi

May is the cruelest month for the residents of Delhi but this year severe water crisis began from April itself. This has apparently nothing to do with temperatures in Delhi as they are still within tolerable limits. PM-designate, Narendra Modi has promised water for every farm of the country but is there enough water to distribute? He has also promised to revive Ganga based on the Sabarmati model and now we hope the same for Yamuna after he takes charge.

Water Scarcity in Delhi

Last month water scarcity was so severe that that flow of water came down to a trickle and forced people from several areas, especially south, southwest and central Delhi to call for water tankers. Apparently unregulated construction work in south and southwest Delhi are to be blamed for depleting groundwater levels. Parts of west Delhi including Janakpuri and Vikas Nagar also bear the brunt of water crisis.

Distribution of water does not function properly as the crisis is beyond a mere demand-supply issue, agreed a senior Delhi Jal Board (DJB) official while speaking with the media last month. The population of Delhi has been increasing every year but the actual supply water remains the same. Wastage of water is also rampant in Delhi with 40 per cent of its supply lost due to leakages and damaged supply lines and thus, water hardly reaches the end user in the distribution chain.

 Save Yamuna, Save Life

The extent of pollution of the Yamuna River is so shocking that it now has a thick layer of foam covering it completely. Yamuna quite often is described as a 'dead river' since pollution in the river has surpassed levels for fish or other marine life to survive. Several environmentalists including the Yamuna Rakshak Dal have been raising the Yamuna issue with political parties but nothing much has been done about it.

After the World Health Organisation’s urban air quality database released last week rang an alarming bell on Delhi’s high air pollution levels, Lieutenant-Governor Najeeb Jung formed a high-power committee to look into pollution levels in the city.

In a public statement, Najeeb Jung expressed his concern over growing pollution levels in the national capital and said that “it is our moral responsibility to provide a healthy environment to our citizens. If we have to ensure health of our cities, we will have to take stern steps against pollution and polluting units."

The committee formed by Najeeb Jung will examine all aspects of pollution including increasing pollution in the Yamuna River due to industrial and sewage discharges. As per mandate, the Delhi Pollution Control Committee has begun its work and 112 stainless steel picking units in Wazirpur industrial area received notices for illegally discharging untreated toxic wastes into the Yamuna.

Political Apathy

Surprisingly, political parties in India ignored environmental issues like water scarcity and ecological decline. Their manifestos merely touched environment and hardly spoke about increasing air pollution and prognoses that India will have only half the water supply required by 2030.

According to the World Bank, environmental degradation is responsible for 25 per cent of the country's 1.6 million deaths among children every year and costs 5.7 per cent of its annual gross domestic product.

The Bharatiya Janata Party mentioned water scarcity predictions in its manifesto but proposed expensive solutions like desalination plants and river-linking. Modi's emotive speech in Varanasi saying "Mujhe Ma Ganga ne bulaya hai," declaring Ganga as a national project, has worked magic on the masses and now all we can do is hope that it was not just a poll plank.  

Globally, environmentalists and scientists are of the belief that the water scarcity along with Global warming will be two of the biggest destabilisers for future. ‘The World Water Development Report’ released by the UNESCO recently states that by 2050 water demand globally will increase by 55 per cent. Asia would then be the biggest hotspot for water conflicts.

picture courtesy- Daniel Berehulak & India.com

Conditions favourbale for advancement of Southwest Monsoon

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the Southwest Monsoon has entirely covered the Andaman Sea and conditions remain conducive for further advancement of Southwest Monsoon over more parts of southeast, eastcentral and some parts of northeast Bay of Bengal during the next 48 hours.

Port Blair in north Andaman Sea observed 20 mm of rain for the third consecutive day on Tuesday. In the next two days more rain is expected with one or two heavy spells at isolated places in the region. The low pressure area persists over eastcentral Bay of Bengal and is likely to move in a northerly direction during the next 24 hours. Such weather systems are instrumental for the onset and advancement of Monsoon.

Weathermen at Skymet are of the view that prior to the onset, such weather systems either in the Bay of Bengal or in the Arabian Sea help the cross equatorial flow to strengthen, after which the strong southwesterly winds sweep across Kerala coast, announcing the arrival of Monsoon.

The map in this article shows that after on time arrival, the eastern arm of the Monsoon has made more progress than the western arm and has reached Myanmar early this year. The red-dotted line in the map has been drawn by Skymet Meteorology Division in India. The green line shows the actual Monsoon line. The yellow-dotted line indicates the normal date of arrival of the Southwest Monsoon in India.

Cardamom| Cardamom prices declined marginally on slack demand despite supply.

Cardamom prices declined marginally on slack demand despite supply squeeze at auctions last week. Good summer showers for over a week in the growing areas have changed the market sentiments. Buyers slowed down purchases expecting new crop to hit markets by late June. AtKochimarket, cardamom prices were Rs 449-1024 per kg.

Wheat| Chicago wheat prices dropped about 1 per cent.

Chicago wheat prices dropped about 1 per cent, with improving weather in the drought-hit United States Plains and prospects of plentiful global supplies dragging on prices. Risks in Ukraine are still real but at this stage unless pro-Russian rebels take control of the ports, we expect exports from the region to remain reasonably robust this year.

Facts about onset of Monsoon in India in recent times

After entering in the Andaman Sea two days before the scheduled date, the Southwest Monsoon is making progress. Here we are giving some interesting facts that will make you understand the trend of onset of Monsoon in India in recent times:

Earliest arrival

The earliest arrival in last ten years was on 23rd May, 2009 (timely arrival date is usually 1st June), the year which observed deficient monsoon rain that led to widespread drought in the country.

Stagnated Monsoon

During the same year (2009), just after the onset, the eastern arm of Southwest monsoon got stagnated over sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim for more than a month from 25th May to 28th June.

On time arrival

In last ten years, the onset of Southwest Monsoon has never been delayed more than a week.

Tendency of arriving earlier

Since 2005, six out of nine occasions, monsoon has hit the Kerala coast before the scheduled date. It means that in recent past, monsoon has showed a tendency of arriving earlier.

In its earlier forecast, Skymet Meteorology Division in India had said that Monsoon may arrive along the Kerala coast by 28th May with a model error of +/-2 two days. The Southwest Monsoon is expected to be below the normal average this year. In April, Skymet Meteorology Division in India had released its Monsoon foreshadow for 2014, where it confirmed the coming Monsoon to be ‘below normal’ at 94% (error margin of ± 4%) of the Long Period Average (LPA) of 896 mm for the four-month period from June to September.

 

Photograph by Jean-Marie Hullot

Weather alerts in India on 20th May

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, here are the weather alerts issued for different parts of the country:

Weather alert for Andhra Pradesh issued at 16:30 Hrs.

Light to moderate rain and thundershowers are likely at some place in East Godavari, Kadapa, Kurnool, Medak, Rangareddy, Srikakulam and Visakhapatnam districts during the next 2 to 4 hours.

Weather alert for Maharashtra issued at 16:22 Hrs

In the next 2 to 5 hours, short spells of rain and thundershowers are likely at a few places in Kolhapur, Osmanabad, Pune, Sangli, Satara and Solapur districts. Strong winds of 30 kmph, gusting at 50 kmph will also blow during the period.

Weather alert for Punjab issued at 16:13 Hrs

Light rain and thundershowers are likely at a few places in Amritsar, Faridkot, Jalandhar, Kapurthala and Ludhiana districts. Rain will be accompanied by strong winds of up to 40 kmph gusting at 60 kmph.

Weather alert for Odisha issued at 14:25 Hrs

In the next 2 to 6 hours, light rain and thundershowers are likely at a few places in Gajapati, Ganjam, Khordha, Koraput and Rayagada districts. Strong winds between 30 and 50 kmph will also blow during the period.

 

Top ten hottest places in India

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Khargone in Madhya Pradesh was the hottest place in the country followed by Sambalpur in Odisha on Monday. Allahabad and Varanasi in east Uttar Pradesh were also among the hottest places in India and it is expected that with a rise in temperature on Tuesday, they will again feature in the list of top ten hottest places in India on Wednesday.

Places State Maximum temperature on Monday Forecast trend for next 24 hours
Khargone Madhya Pradesh 44.7°C Same
Sambalpur Odisha 44.5°C Same
Bankura West Bengak 44°C Same
Titlagarh Odisha 44°C Same
Akola Maharashtra 44°C Rise
Jalgaon Maharashtra 43.7°C Drop
Jharsuguda Odisha 43.5°C Same
Allahabad Uttar Pradesh 43.3°C Rise
Amravati Maharashtra 43.2°C Drop
Varanasi Uttar Pradesh 43°C Rise

 

Weather forecast for major Indian cities on Wednesday

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Delhi will observe a hot Wednesday afternoon as maximum temperature is expected to settle in the forties. The weather in Mumbai will remain comfortable but day time will be very warm. Kolkata will continue to battle heat wave like conditions under partly cloudy sky. In South India, Chennai will be hot and dry under partly cloudy sky, while rain will be a possibility in Bangalore and Hyderabad.

Cities Maximum Temperature Minimum Temperature Conditions
Delhi 40°C 26°C Morning will be pleasant. Afternoon will be hot and uneasy.
Mumbai 35°C 28°C Morning hours will be comfortable while evening will be breezy. Sky will be party cloudy.
Kolkata 40°C 28°C Heat wave likely to persist. Sky will be partly cloudy.
Chennai 38°C 28°C Sky will remain partly cloudy. Chances of thundery development.
Bangalore 32°C 21°C Morning will be pleasant Sky will remain partly cloudy sky. Possibility of rain or thundershowers.
Hyderabad 40°C 27°C A hot afternoon amid rising temperatures. Chances of light rain or thundershowers.

 

Photograph by Arvind.vindhu







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