According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, rain in South India has picked up considerably in the last few days as the rain figures show a significant jump from light showers of below 20 mm to heavy rain of over 100 mm from the 11th till the 15th of June. But this increase in rain still hasn't been able to make up for the deficit in South India.
From the 1st to the 14th of June, the National Cumulative Average monsoon rain was deficient by a whopping 47%, whereas the percentage of rain deficit varied across different states of peninsular India, ranging between 30% to 60% on an average. On a whole South India is facing a rain deficit of about 24%.
While heavy showers in Kerala began to make up for less monsoon rains in the state, reducing the rain deficit from 40% to 20%, in Konkan and Goa, heavy monsoon rain in the second week of June, failed to cover up the 65% rain deficit.
Karnataka is also facing rain deficit across all regions. While north Karnataka faces a rain deficit of 32%, coastal Karnataka is facing 44% below normal rain . South Karnataka however, has had good rain and therefore the rainfall figures hover around the normal average for the month of June. Here the deficit is only about 4%. Bangalore so far in June has received approximately 230 mm of rain, with over 70 mm of rain each on 6th and 7th June.
Andhra Pradesh has been the worst hit with very little rain so far. There hasn't been any rain along coastal Andhra Pradesh for some time, leading to a rain deficit of about 59%. Weathermen tell us that chances of rain over the region looks grim for the next 72 hours. Meanwhile, the Northern Limit of Monsoon, extended up to Bapatla in Rayalseema on Sunday, raising hopes of monsoon showers in the parched area. Here the rain deficit till now is 39%.
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Monsoon rain from 11th to 15th June |
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| Date | Kozhikode | Mangalore | Honavar | Panaji |
| 11-June | 95 mm | 57 mm | Nil | 87 mm |
| 12-June | 97 mm | 131 mm | 87.4 mm | 124 mm |
| 13-June | 90 mm | 184 mm | 128 mm | 59 mm |
| 14-June | 74 mm | 104 mm | 135 mm | 38 mm |
| 15-June | 15 mm | 76 mm | 61 mm | 87 mm |
This table shows the drastic increase in rainfall figures in some cities of Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Goa from the 11th to 15th of June
Southwest Monsoon has been making a slow advancement after making a sluggish start this year. The onset of Monsoon phase should normally witness significant rain however, that did not happen. Tropical cyclone ‘Nanauk’ had been restricting the actual outburst of Monsoon in India. Now that the system has weakened it lost its hold over the monsoon current, allowing free flow of westerly winds favourable for the monsoon surge. In the next 10 days, rain will increase over the country but it may fail to cover up the deficit being faced by peninsular India.
According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, peak of Summer in Delhi is over as temperatures are not likely to see any significant rise for the next two weeks, by which time Southwest Monsoon is expected (29th June) to arrive.
The reason behind this weather in Delhi is the rain that has been occurring in the national capital and its surrounding areas since last week. Due to moisture laden southwesterly winds blowing from the Arabian Sea and maximum temperature sustaining around 40°C chances of convection rises and the national capital receives rain. Weathermen at Skymet also say that winds coming from the west direction are less hot than those experienced last week when temperatures had risen to mid-forties and above. Delhi could again observe some rain in the next 24 hours.
Delhi recorded a maximum of 40.6°C on Sunday and is expected to remain in the early forties for the next two days. Meanwhile, minimum temperature in Delhi is again recording above normal at 30.6°C after rain on Thursday had pulled down the minimum to 22.7°C on Friday morning last week. With moisture in the atmosphere absorbing the heat and clouds hovering in the sky, morning hours are likely to remain humid and a little warm.
After occasional showers in many areas of Mumbai on Sunday, Skymet Meteorology Division in India has forecast heavy showers in isolated pockets of the city on Monday. According to the latest weather update, the Monsoon surge is strong over the Arabian Sea and continues to feed moisture to the entire west coast of peninsular India, including Mumbai. The next three days, till the 19th of June the city will observe intermittent rain.
Light to moderate showers occurred in Mumbai at Santa Cruz and Colaba on Sunday morning where 15 mm and 21 mm of rain was recorded respectively. Parts of Dadar witnessed drizzle around 3 pm which was then followed by another spell of light rain at around 8 pm. Similar pattern of rain was reported at night at Navi Mumbai, Charkop and Vikhroli.
“Many areas continued to receive intermittent rain the entire day and the skies remained cloudy and dull. Mumbai has been receiving rain but we are still waiting for some good Monsoon showers to get soaked in”, says Yogesh Patil, a resident of Dadar.
“Rain in Mumbai is likely to be heavy in isolated pockets today due to an influx of moisture laden winds from the Arabian Sea. We were observing the weather in the morning today and the radar was indicating some light showers at around 10:10 am”, says Samar Chaudhury. “However, it looks like rain could reduce in the next 72 hours as the monsoon surge may weaken a little”, he added further.
Cloudy weather in Mumbai accompanied by occasional thundershowers, since the last few days has led to a drop in the mercury by 2 to 4 degrees. The maximum temperature in the city which was seen recording around 37⁰C last week has now dropped to settle around 33⁰C. Wednesday, 11th June was the hottest day (38⁰C) of the month in Mumbai in a decade. As of now, the city of dreams could witness a further drop in the day temperatures in the next 24 hours. For Monday, the maximum temperature is expected to settle around 31⁰C, whereas on Sunday it recorded 33.7⁰C.
The average rainfall for Mumbai in June is a whopping 523 mm and whether the rain amounts in Mumbai will be anywhere close to these figures is yet to be seen.
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