According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Divison in India, Mumbai is in for some moderate showers on Thursday. Maximums could dip in Delhi and high humidity could bother people in Chennai, Kolkata and Bangalore. Here’s a look at the weather forecast for major Indian cities on Thursday, 12th June.
Cities | Maximum Temperature | Minimum Temperature | Conditions |
Delhi | 41°C | 31°C | Marginal drop in the maximum will not abate heat wave condition. Night will be highly uncomfortable |
Mumbai | 34°C | 28°C | Light to moderate light likely in some parts. |
Kolkata | 38°C | 29°C | A warm morning and uneasy day likely. |
Chennai | 37°C | 28°C | Day will be warm and sultry. Night also to be warm. |
Bangalore | 31°C | 21°C | Pleasant morning with a slightly warm afternoon. No rain likely. |
Hyderabad | 38°C | 27°C | A short spell of rain towards late afternoon may bring relief from sultry weather. |
Photo by Ritika Acharya
According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Banda in Uttar Pradesh surged to the top of the list of hottest places in India on Tuesday. Allahabad again featured in the list as the third hottest place in the country. The table shows that day temperature dipped in Rajasthan significantly as Churu dropped to the eighth place in the list. Palam in Delhi again made it to the list.
Places | State | Maximum temperature on Tuesday | Forecast trend for next 24 hours |
Banda | Uttar Pradesh | 48.3°C | Drop |
Nowgong | Madhya Pradesh | 47.7°C | Drop |
Allahabad | Uttar Pradesh | 47.5°C | Drop |
Agra | Uttar Pradesh | 47.3°C | Drop |
Satna | Madhya Pradesh | 47.2°C | Rise |
Khajuraho | Madhya Pradesh | 47.2°C | Same |
Palam | Delhi | 47°C | Drop |
Churu | Rajasthan | 46.5°C | Drop |
Sawaimadhopur | Rajasthan | 46.2°C | Drop |
Hisar | Haryana | 46°C | Drop |
According to Skymet, day temperatures at most of the places in the list are expected to fall other than Satna and Khajuraho in Madhya Pradesh.
Photograph by Barry Pousman
Southwest Monsoon this year apparently ushered in a little early around 28-29th of May as monsoonal rain was visible around this date. Monsoon made a sluggish start this year with subdued activity in the initial phase and made a very slow advancement. Nevertheless, rain seems to be picking up now. Kerala received good showers on Wednesday morning with some activity over Karnataka coast as well.
Here’ a look at the rainfall figures in South India in a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Tuesday.
Kerala- Alappuzha 57 mm, Punalur 35 mm, Kottayam 42 mm, Kozhikode 80 mm, Kannur 39 mm, Thiruvananthapuram 8.8 mm and Kochi 85 mm.
Other places on the west coast- Nashik received 11.6 mm of rain, Ratnagiri 7.7 mm, Yeotmal 20.2 mm, Mangalore 17.5 mm, Punalur 23.3 mm and Karwar 54 mm of rain.
Contribution of Cyclone Nanauk
As the Tropical cyclone ‘Nanauk’ in the Arabian Sea moves away, Monsoon rain is expected to increase over the west coast beginning with Kerala and gradually expanding to cover Saurashtra. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the system is taking a northwestward direction and moving at a speed of 15 kmph. The storm is restricting the free flow of westerly winds, required for good Monsoon showers, and keeping all the moisture under its grip.
Therefore, rain will pick up over South India as the storm will lose its strength when it moves close to Oman or makes a landfall after about 3-4 days.
Monsoon rain over South India
The west coast of Peninsular India receives good showers during the Monsoon season. Mangalore receives an average of 1027 mm of rain in June while it has received only 130 mm till date. Similarly, Kozhikode receives an average of 750 mm but has only had 230 mm of rain. Rain is likely to pick up and just one good spell could mitigate the deficiency.
Mumbai is yet to receive Monsoon rain and has recorded only 2 mm of rain this month against the monthly average of over 500 mm.
The onset of Monsoon phase should normally witness significant rain and the actual outburst of Southwest Monsoon is yet to come. Since first June is the normal date for arrival of Southwest Monsoon, we will take into account the performance of Monsoon from this date.
Monsoon Performance from 1st to 10th June-
As of 11th June, the northern limit of monsoon (NLM) - as indicated by the green line in the featured image - passes through-
According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, parts of Rajasthan, Haryana and Punjab are expected to observe dust storm, thunderstorm and rain in the next 48 hours. The moist westerly winds under the influence of a tropical cyclone Nanauk in the Arabian Sea will bring this change in weather in these parts. But these activities will mostly happen post noon or evening hours, so chances of a significant drop in day temperatures are being ruled out.
Heat wave conditions were observed as day temperatures remained above normal by several notches in Amritsar, Chandigarh and Ludhiana in Punjab, Hisar and Karnal in Haryana, Agra and Aligarh in west Uttar Pradesh and Jaipur and Kota in east Rajasthan. Barmer, Bikaner and Jaisalmer in west Rajasthan experienced drop in day temperatures on Tuesday.
In Uttar Pradesh, Banda recorded a maximum of 48.3°C with Allahabad also witnessing a sharp rise. Maximum in Allahabad on Tuesday settled at 47.5°C. With change in wind conditions, day temperatures may drop marginally in east Uttar Pradesh. Bihar and Gangetic West Bengal, waiting for the arrival of Monsoon, will witness below or near normal day temperatures.
With dry northwesterly getting restricted, temperatures in Bhopal, Indore and Jabalpur in Madhya Pradesh, Satna and Raipur in Chhattisgarh will drop marginally in the next 48 hours. Vidarbha in Central Peninsular will also witness a drop in day temperature during this period.
Heat wave condition prevailing in Delhi for the sixth consecutive day is something that the city has not witnessed since 1969. The longest heat wave in Delhi was for four days in June 1995. The Safdarjung Observatory has been sustaining day temperatures close to 45°C since 6th June. It again recorded 45.2°C as the maximum on Tuesday.
The other Observatory at Palam which broke the record for the highest maximum temperature in this very period continues to swelter under very intense heat with maximum recording 47°C on Tuesday. Data shows that after 6th June, maximums have not fallen below 47°C.
Day temperatures in Delhi Since 7th June
Day | Maximum temperature at Safdarjang | Maximum temperature at Palam |
7th June | 44.9°C | 47°C |
8th June | 45.1°C | 47.8°C |
9th June | 45.5°C | 47.6°C |
10th June | 45.2°C | 47°C |
Accumulation of heat has led to rise in distress level for the past few days in Delhi. If sun heat is making it difficult during the day, rise in humidity levels due to moisture reaching here from the southwest direction and early thirties temperatures have added to the discomfort during night hours. Frequent power cuts have further added to the miseries of Delhiites and they must be searching for answers as to why the weather in Delhi has been so painful this June.
Skymet cites four reasons for heat wave conditions prevailing in Delhi.
Closest to Sun
As we move close to 23rd June, the time when Sun reaches the 'Tropic of Cancer' in the Northern Hemisphere, areas close to the 'Tropic of Cancer' receive direct sunlight leading to more heat radiation and pushing the temperatures high. Delhi is just five degrees North of this line due to which the sun rays are more direct and therefore more intense.
Long day time
The second reason behind the heat wave in Delhi is the long day time. Sunrise in Delhi is before 5:30 am while the sun sets by 19:15 pm. It means we are experiencing almost 14 hours of sunlight. The temperature keeps rising even after 3.30 pm. This gives heat less time to escape the atmosphere. Reflection of this could be understood by the fact that night temperatures in Delhi in the last couple of days are settling around 30°C and remain in the early thirties till the day starts. Delhi recorded more than 31°C as minimum on Wednesday morning, almost three notches above normal.
Driest June Since 2007
The month of June in Delhi since 2007 has never been without some rain. Data available with Skymet shows that all the years since then have recorded rain with a maximum of 15 mm in 2013. But in 2014, Delhi has been left high and dry till now.
Rain in Delhi since June 2007
Year | Amount of Rain |
2007 | Trace |
2008 | 1.2 mm |
2009 | 2.5 mm |
2010 | 1.4 mm |
2011 | 10 mm |
2012 | 13 mm |
2013 | 15 mm |
2014 | Totally dry |
Pollution
Pollution in Delhi is absorbing this heat and not letting the heat to escape. A recent report pulished by the Centre for Science and Environment has also pointed towards this reason for intense heat in the national capital.
“With heat wave raging in early June, ozone peaks to dangerous levels. Rising NO₂ levels and volatile gases in the air, primarily from vehicles, form the recipe for ozone when exposed to intense sunlight and high temperature.” said Anumita Roychowdhury, executive director, research and advocacy and head of CSE’s air pollution programme.
“Ozone is a serious threat to those suffering from asthma and respiratory problems and can cause premature deaths if it is high even for a short duration during the day,” she added.
Dust storm expected tomorrow
According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Delhi may experience some dust storms in the next 48 hours. They will not affect the day temperatures much as they will occur in the evening. But southwesterly winds would certainly help in keeping the day temperature under some control by pulling it down marginally.
Photograph by Kprateek88