Skymet weather

Top ten rainiest cities of India

 According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, coastal Karnataka and Konkan & Goa are heading for heavier showers during the next 48 hours as the monsoon surge could strengthen further. Here are the top ten rainiest cities of India on Monday.

Cities State Rainfall
Karwar Karnataka 154 mm
Mangalore Karnataka 132 mm
Panaji Goa 99mm
Honavar Karnataka 52 mm
Kolkata West Bengal 52 mm
Kozhikode Kerala 44 mm
Imphal Manipur 40 mm
Mumbai Maharashtra 32 mm
Dehradun Uttarakhand 29 mm
Gorakhpur Uttar Pradesh 23 mm

Rain in Mumbai will remain sporadic in June

After a long wait, Mumbaikars finally got lucky as 32 mm of rain was recorded at the Santa Cruz weather station on Monday night. It has been the first heavy spell of monsoon rain in the city this season. Couples and kids all thronged to the Marine Drive and enjoyed every bit of rain in Mumbai.

On the other hand, there were reports of train services getting affected at different locations due to technical snags caused by rain and strong winds blowing at a speed of 50 kmph. Trees were also uprooted in many parts of the city. The worst hit were people returning home from work as long traffic snarls were witnessed at the Western Express Highway.

‘We were getting regular updates from Mumbai. Intermittent rain had been occurring since morning in various pockets of the city. At around 8:00 pm on Monday, heavy rain started to occur in Santa Cruz and Dadar, as well as in Kalyan in Thane district”, says meteorologist Mahesh Palawat.

After braving the sweltering heat for over a month, Monday’s showers brought in much needed relief for the weather-beaten Mumbaikars. While Mumbai, Thane, Pune and Nagpur, among others, witnessed scanty rainfall till June 12th, Dhule and Sangli have been experiencing downpour since the onset of monsoon.

Impact of El Nino phenomenon

Weathermen tell us less rain in Mumbai and Maharashtra so far is a possible effect of the El Nino phenomenon. Mumbai receives heavy showers of over 200 mm in the first ten days of monsoon season. So far, it is only 80 mm, with 32 mm being recorded on Monday and 15 mm each on 14th and 15th June.

Records of last five years show that the month of June sees heavy to very heavy rain in Mumbai. In 2013, the city had received a whopping 938.8 mm of rain in June, whereas in 2009 which was an El Nino year, rain amount was mere 220 mm as opposed to normal rainfall of 523 mm. In an evolving El Nino year of 2012, rainfall was just about 312 mm. While in 2010 and 2011 rain figures recorded between 600 to 650 mm.

The table below shows rainfall amounts in Mumbai in June from year 2009 to 2014:

Year Rainfall Heaviest rain in 24 hours
2009 (El Nino) 220 mm 93 mm on June 26
2010 600 mm 120 mm on June 24
2011 664 mm 184 mm on June 11
2012 (Evolving El Nino) 311 mm 75 mm on June 27
2013 984 mm 181 mm on June 9
2014 (El Nino) 80 mm so far 32 mm on June 16

These figures clearly explain the impact of El Nino on the Monsoon in Mumbai. While the monthly average was seen to be really low in El Nino years of 2009 and 2012, heavy spells in a span of 24 hours also did not exceed 100 mm, as compared to normal monsoon years of 2010, 2011 and 2013, when rainfall in a day was a whopping 180 mm.

“Our weather models are indicating below normal rainfall for Mumbai for the month of June. Rain will continue to occur but it may not be heavy enough to exceed 100 mm in a day. Rain in Mumbai is expected to be sporadic this whole month”, says Chief Statistician Makarand Kulkarni.

Agreeing with Mr Kulkarni, Meteorologist Mahesh Palawat added, “Yes, that’s true, so far Mumbai has not received enough rain. We were expecting heavy showers on Tuesday too but now it looks rain may start reducing from today. Heavy rain may start from 20th June onwards, when the monsoon surge will strengthen. Till then it may be intermittent and light”.

Skymet Weather had predicted the possible effects of El Nino on Monsoon in India, earlier in April this year. In the foreshadow, a significant drop in Monsoon rain in Mumbai was discussed, where it was stated that an El Nino may reduce the intensity and frequency of rain from the period June to September.

Monsoon rain over Kerala to increase gradually after 24 hours

The Monsoon surge now seems to be more active over the west coast above Kerala, as Konkan, Goa and Karnataka have been receiving good showers. Subdued activity could be seen over Kerala since the past 2 days however, Monsoon rain over Kerala will increase gradually after 24 hours.

Heavy showers in Kerala began to make up for less Monsoon rain in the state, reducing the rain deficit from 40% till 10th of June to 27% at present, but in the last 48 hours rainfall amount has reduced here.

In a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Monday, Kozhikode received 40 mm of rain, Kochi 11 mm, Kottayam 5 mm, Thiruvananthapuram 8.6 mm. Kannaur still received good showers of 82 mm.

Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema will remain practically dry with scanty rain over a couple of places. The moisture brought in by westerly/ south westerly winds will be shed over the windward side of peninsular India.

From the 1st to the 16th of June, rainfall deficiency stands at 48% over Telangana, 25% over Rayalaseema and 10% over Tamil Nadu and Puducherry.

According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Southwest Monsoon has been making a slow advancement after making a sluggish start this year. Tropical cyclone ‘Nanauk’ had been restricting the actual outburst of Monsoon in India. After the system weakened and lost its hold over the monsoon current, allowing free flow of westerly winds favourable for the Monsoon surge, rain picked up in South India. Rain will gradually pick up over Kerala but deficiency might not be mitigated considering that 2014 is an El Nino year. El Nino in India has already made a huge impact on date of onset and may also affect the overall monsoon performance, increasing or decreasing rainfall in a region.

picture courtesy- rauff

Konkan, Goa, Karnataka up for heavy Monsoon rain during next 48 hours

Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka have been receiving good showers and the intensity is likely to increase during next 48 hours. Coastal parts of north Maharashtra and adjoining Gujarat, on the other hand, could witness a slight decrease in rain after 24 to 36 hours.

The monsoon surge keeps on fluctuating and now seems more active over the west coast, particularly Konkan, Goa and Karnataka. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, rain in South India has picked up considerably from the 11th of June. But this increase in rain still hasn't been able to make up for the deficit in South India.

Deficiency in the National Cumulative Average monsoon rain, from the 1st to the 16th of June, has been increasing and now stands at a whopping 49%. On a whole South India is facing a rain deficit of about 28% while the deficiency was 24% till the 14th. Coastal Karnataka is deficit by 46% while Konkan and Goa by 52%. North Karnataka also faces a rain deficit of 34%.

Looking at the figures we can conclude that intensity of rain is increasing but deficiency seems to be overriding as the west coast of South India receives very heavy showers, especially in the initial phase of Southwest Monsoon.

In a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Monday, Panaji in Goa received 99 mm of rain, Karwar 154 mm, Honavar 52 mm and Mangalore 136 mm of rain.

Heavy showers in Kerala began to make up for less Monsoon rains in the state, reducing the rain deficit from 40% till 10th of June to 27% at present. As Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka are up for good rain now, we expect these areas to make up for some deficiency. In the next 10 days, rain will increase over the country but it may fail to cover up the deficit completely.

 

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Weather alerts issued for India on 16th June

Weather alert for Chhattisgarh issued at 15.55 hrs

Light to moderate rain and thundershowers are likely at few places in Bastar, Kanker, Narayanpur, Rajnandgaon and Surguja districts with strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 80 kmph during the next 2 to 6 hours.

Weather alert for Rajasthan issued at 15.40 hrs

In the next 2 to 6 hours, light to moderate rain and thundershowers are likely at few places in Alwar, Baran, Bharatpur, Dausa, Dholpur, Karauli, Sawai Madhopur and Sikar. Rain will be accompanied by strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 80 kmph.

Weather alert for Uttar Pradesh issued at 15.40 hrs

Light dust storm/thundershowers are likely at some places in Ambedkar Nagar, Azamgarh, Deoria, Gorakhpur and Mau districts with strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 70 kmph during the next 2 to 4 hours.

Weather alert for West Bengal issued at 15.25 hrs

Short spells of rain and thundershowers are likely at few places in Bankura, Bardhaman, Birbhum, East Midnapore, Kolkata, Murshidabad, North 24 Parganas, Purulia and West Midnapore districts with strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 70 kmph during the next 2 to 6 hours.

Weather alert for Odisha issued at 15.20 hrs

Short spells of rain and thundershowers are likely at few places in Balasore, Bhadrak, Kendujhar, Koraput, Malkangiri, Mayurbhanj and Rayagada districts with strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 70 kmph during the next 2 to 6 hours.







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