Skymet weather

Weather turns hot and dry in Delhi and North India, possibility of thundery build up

And just as we predicted, weather in Delhi and northern plains remained dry on Sunday with Monsoon showers recorded only in isolated pockets. Besides Delhi, isolated rain occurred in Haryana too, but failed to bring any relief from the hot weather. Rajasthan and Punjab remained completely dry, with temperatures settling two to four degrees above the normal average.

Skymet on Sunday had said that rain will remain patchy in Delhi, which exactly was the case. While Safdarjung recorded a mere 0.9 mm of rain, people in parts of Narela were bathing in heavy Monsoon showers of over 32 mm. Short spells of insignificant rain occurred at different times in parts of Palam, Dwarka and Noida. In the absence of enough rain the maximum recorded three degrees above the normal average at 39.7⁰C at palam. The maximum settled at 37⁰C at the Safdurjung Observatory, which is one degree above the normal average. The humidity remained very high (over 80%) and made the night very uncomfortable.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather in Delhi and entire northern plains is expected to be hot and dry at least for the next three to four days. Hopes of rain in Delhi had risen from the low pressure system which gave rain to almost entire Uttar Pradesh, but were dashed when the system did not reach Delhi. The low pressure is now expected to die down shortly near west Uttar Pradesh.

Other than Narela and Ayanagar in Delhi, isolated rain occurred at Ambala (4.3 mm) and Karnala (2.8 mm) in Haryana on Sunday evening. Hisar remained dry and maximum rose to 41⁰C.

Punjab did not receive a drop of rain despite high temperatures which generally trigger thundershowers. Day temperature in Patiala recorded four degrees above normal, at 38.6⁰C. Amritsar and Ludhiana remained just a shade better at 36.3⁰C and 37⁰C respectively.

Monsoon line has reached north Rajasthan, touching Bikaner, but rain is yet to occur in the parched state. Temperatures remained the highest here in the country, recording more than 40⁰C. Bikaner on Sunday recorded a maximum of 41.3⁰C. Jaisalmer, where the Monsoon line is yet to reach, touched 40⁰C.

Meanwhile, there are chances of thundery build up in northern plains in the next two days. This is because of the high temperatures being recorded in the region for some time now.

Photo by Ritika Acharya.

Good rain to continue in Uttar Pradesh

The low pressure area, which has been vital in giving Monsoon rain to Northeast India, Sub Himalayan West Bengal and Bihar has now moved across central Uttar Pradesh and is presently lying over west U.P.

In a span of 24 hours, from 8.30 on Sunday, Lucknow in Central Uttar Pradesh received 54 mm of rain, Fursatganj and Bahraich received a whopping 358 mm and 315 mm of rain respectively. Gorakhpur in east Uttar Pradesh also received 15 mm of rain.

In the next 24 hours we can expect some rain in west U.P, particularly in Bareilly and Moradabad, due to the low pressure lying over the region. Thereafter (in next 48 hours) the system will move from west to east along the foothills, giving good rain here. Though, the system will weaken during this time, it will continue to be seen as a cyclonic circulation.

The circulation will later cover Sub Himalayan West Bengal and Northeast India, giving good amounts of rain in the region. Northeast India at the moment is observing subdued rainfall activity, which is expected to increase once the cyclonic circulation reaches the region.

Barring Kerala, rain in South India to be widespread

Weather in South India in the last 24 hours has been rainy in most parts except in the state of Kerala, where Monsoon rains remained subdued. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the conditions are expected to remain the same in the region for another 24 hours.

A trough running from Uttar Pradesh to Tamil Nadu, across Andhra brought widespread heavy showers to Andhra Pradesh on Saturday. It was followed by more rains on Sunday due to the same weather system. The rainfall figures in the state looked like this: Ongole 44 mm, Vijaywada 40 mm and Kalingapatnam 14 mm. Kurnool recorded the highest rainfall of 76 mm, while the capital city Hyderabad received 11 mm of rain.

Rain in Tamil Nadu was heavier than that in Andhra Pradesh. Some stations in the state recorded around 100 mm of rain. Karaikal and Nagapattinam recorded 95 mm and 99 mm of rain respectively. Weathermen tell us that heavy rain in Tamil Nadu was isolated in nature and that is why the capital city Chennai remained dry with only 0.8 mm of rain. Other stations to have received rain were Tiruchirapalli 1 mm and Nellore 3 mm. The reason for such heavy rain remained the same as in Andhra Pradesh. For the next 24 hours, rain in Tamil Nadu could continue to be good but patchy. It could reduce from Wednesday onwards.

Looks like Kerala has succumbed to El Nino, as the state which usually receives widespread heavy rain in the month of July has had very less rain in the first week of the month. And the start of the second week doesn't promise any good rains either. Rain in Kerala was scanty on Sunday with less than a millimeter of rain observed in most major cities. Thiruvananthapuram recorded traces of rain, Alappuzha received 0.2 mm and Kozhikoze had 1 mm of rain. There won't be any good rain in the state for the next three to four days as there isn't any strong monsoon surge or a weather system in sight.

Karnataka has been luckier than Kerala with a trough bringing rain in the interiors of the state and westerly surge bringing good rainfall along the coastal parts. In the last 24 hours, there was isolated heavy rain in Bijapur of about 70 mm. The capital Bangalore received 5 mm of rain. And along the coast, Karwar recorded 14 mm of rain, Honavar 26 mm and Mangalore 6.5 mm.

Currently, the rain deficit being experienced in the respective states is : Kerala 37%, Tamil Nadu surplus by 16%, north interior and coastal Karnataka are deficit by 52% and 49% respectively. Deficit is the highest in Andhra Pradesh, of over 60%.

 

Sugarcane| Indian Sugar futures rose on concerns over the next year's output due to weak monsoon rains over the main Sugarcane growing areas of western and southern India.

Indian Sugar futures rose on concerns over the next year's output due to weak monsoon rains over the main Sugarcane growing areas of western and southern India. Sugar prices extended loss by Rs 30-40 per quintal at the Vashi spot market as stockists sold fair quality at lower rates making the space for fresh stocks.

Black Pepper| Black Pepper prices moved up at the Kochi spot market on acute shortage.

Black Pepper prices moved up at the Kochi spot market on acute shortage. There was neither any arrival nor any offtake. Spot prices at Kochi market moved up by Rs 400 to Rs 70400 (ungarbled) and Rs 72900 (garbled) per quintal. Export prices were at around $12500 per tonne for Europe while export prices are $12750 per tonne for the United States.

Cotton| Apart from China, countries such as Bangladesh, Turkey, Indonesia and Cambodia are fast lapping up Cotton from India to feed their export focused garment industries.

Apart from China, countries such as Bangladesh, Turkey, Indonesia and Cambodia are fast lapping up Cotton from India to feed their export focused garment industries. India, the world's second-biggest Cotton producer, raised its export forecast for the crop year ending September by 27 percent with demand strong for buyers beyond China.

Paddy| Thai Rice prices have bounced off a 6-1/2-year low, but a sustained rally looks unlikely as long as huge stockpile built up under the former government's disastrous subsidy scheme remains unsold.

Thai Rice prices have bounced off a 6-1/2-year low, but a sustained rally looks unlikely as long as huge stockpile built up under the former government's disastrous subsidy scheme remains unsold. Thai 5 percent broken white Rice ended last week at $415 per tonne, up from $370 in the week to May 30, which was the lowest since Jan 2008.

Heavy showers lash parts of Andhra Pradesh; more rain likely for 72 hours

Monsoon finally brought some good news for the people of Andhra Pradesh who happily bathed in heavy showers on Saturday night. A long and dry spell came to end in Hyderabad with over 40 mm of rain. God’s own city, Tirupathi was luckier than the capital, there monsoon showers poured in its full fury and over 100 mm of rain was recorded.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, rain in Andhra Pradesh occurred due to a trough which is seen extending from east Uttar Pradesh to north Tamil Nadu, across the state of Andhra.

These rain figures of last 24 hours are a good example of how parched Andhra Pradesh soaked in rain. Hyderabad 42.5 mm, Nellore 30 mm, Tirupathi 113.1 mm, Vijaywada 10 mm, Visakhapatnam 5 mm, Anantpur 2 mm, Cuddapah 12.2 mm, Hanamkonda 13.2 mm and Machilipatnam 13 mm.

“As of now it looks like this weather system is strong enough to bring scattered showers to entire Andhra Pradesh for the next two to three days. Rain will be more in parts of Rayalseema and Telangana and lesser in intensity towards the coast”, says meteorologist Mahesh Palawat

Weathermen further inform us that with Andhra Pradesh, other states could also get lucky. Rain may occur at interior Karantaka and interior Tamil Nadu as well.

The state of Andhra Pradesh has constantly been witnessing a heat wave condition in the last few weeks with temperature exceeding 40⁰C in some pockets. Though yesterday’s rain brought much needed relief to the state but it failed to dip the mercury as it poured only after the day’s maximum had reached its highest point.

Despite rain, weather in Andhra Pradesh remained hot and maximums recorded 5 to 8 degrees above the normal average. Machilipatnam remained the hottest city with a maximum of 42⁰C (eight degrees above normal).

Till 5th July, the rain deficit figures in coastal Andhra Pradesh was a whopping -72%. While Telanagana is reeling under a rain deficit of -66%, rain in Rayalseema is close to normal at -12%.

Low pressure system to bring good rain to Uttar Pradesh; to die down after 48 hours

A weather system which originally formed as a circulation in north Bay of Bengal last week and brought heavy to very heavy Monsoon rain in Sikkim and Sub Himalayan West Bengal, intensified into a low pressure system and affected monsoon rains over Bihar in the last 48 hours.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Uttar Pradesh is next in line for some rain. The low pressure system is expected to give good Monsoon rain over many parts of central and east Uttar Pradesh during the next 24 hours. Rain could be heavy in districts along the foothills of the Himalayas.

The image here shows that a thick cloud cover has engulfed almost entire Uttar Pradesh and these rain bearing clouds could make the weather in Uttar Pradesh rainy all day. Sunday morning’s live radar images showed that Lucknow was observing some good showers at around 12 pm. Other districts which saw cloudy weather since the start of the day were Gorakhpur and Bahraich.

Without a doubt, cloudy and rainy weather will lead to a significant drop in the mercury. Till 1 pm today, Lucknow’s maximum temperature did not rise beyond 26⁰C. The maximum till the end of the day may therefore not exceed 31⁰C. Places along the foothills may see the maximum temperature settle between 33⁰C and 35⁰C, whereas areas which wont't observe any rain, will see day temperature settling around 38⁰C.

“The low pressure system may intensify further and is expected to die down after 48 hours. Like we earlier mentioned, this system will bring good spells of rain over east and central U.P for 24 hours. Thereafter it may again move in the eastward direction, towards Bihar”, explains Mahesh Palawat.

In the last 24 hours, this low pressure system brought 14 mm of rain to Gaya, 38 mm to Patna and 10 mm to Purnea in Bihar. Good amounts of rain occurred at Uttar Pradesh too, this was: Bahraich 49.2 mm, Allahabad 36.6 mm, Fursatganj 23 mm, Gorakhpur 27 mm, Hardoi 12 mm, Lucknow 17 mm, Meerut 17 mm, Sultanpur 47 mm and Varanasi 67 mm.

Weather in Delhi to be cloudy on Sunday; rain to be patchy

Weather in Delhi started to turn cloudy to overcast on Sunday morning at around 11 am, raising hopes of Delhiites some good Monsoon showers. But the hopeful weather only brought disappointment, as light rain occurred in isolated pockets of Noida and Gurgaon.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Monsoon rain in Delhi and northern plains may occur only at one or two places on Sunday. The weather will mainly be dry despite a presence of thick to low medium clouds. High humidity of over 80% and high temperatures will add to discomfort all day and people will prefer to be comfortably indoors in their air conditioners.

“Low medium clouds rarely give any significant rain. If any, rain in Delhi will be purely localized or isolated/patchy in nature on Sunday”, says meteorologist Mahesh Palawat.

The maximum temperature in Delhi had already touched 37⁰C on Sunday afternoon, at around 12 pm, though it dropped temporarily by a notch due to a thick cloud cover. Weathermen told us the expected maximum could be close to 38⁰C.

Sunday’s morning minimum remained above normal by a degree, settling at 28.6⁰C at Safdarjung. Minimum recorded three degrees above normal at 30⁰C at Palam.

“While today weather will be mainly dry and rain is patchy with cloudy to overcast skies, Monday may see drier weather, partly cloudy skies, with little or no chances of rain in Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan and north Uttar Pradesh”, says Mahesh Palawat.

He further told us that the winds will be dry northwesterly which will keep the maximums high, at around 40⁰C in the plains of North India. Nights too may bring no relief as the minimums will settle in the higher twenties and high humidity will cause immense discomfort.

Skymet Weather did a detailed analysis of the prospects of Monsoon in India during July, where it was reiterated that Delhi and entire northwest India will witness weak Monsoon rains during the first half of July. Conditions may improve thereafter.

Photo by Ritika Acharya







latest news