Skymet weather

Delhi likely to observe good amounts of rain next week

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the national capital Delhi which is experiencing hot and humid conditions for the last couple of days may witness good amounts of rain between 24th to 26th June.

By Wednesday next week, southeasterly winds from the Bay of Bengal would surge up to Delhi region to cause rain. These winds are already being observed in Haryana and Punjab due to trough of low extending from the Bay of Bengal to Punjab. This trough may slightly shift south, towards Delhi to bring rain in the city.

Delhi is observing westerly winds coming from Rajasthan. These winds contain moisture which will make daytime a little uncomfortable for the next two days. Maximums will also record in the early forties during this time.

Delhi recorded a maximum of 41.3°C on Thursday, which was three notches above normal, while minimum temperature settled at 31°C, again three notches above normal. These temperatures are expected to sustain during the next two days. High temperatures and the available moisture in the atmosphere could also lead to short spells of rain during post noon or evening hours in the next 48 hours.

 

 

No rain in Mumbai for next 5 days

Mumbai receives an average of 523.1 mm of rain in the month of June but this year the city has received merely 87 mm of rain till date. Though Mumbai holds the capacity of recording 100 to 150 mm of rain just in a day but according to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the city will not be able to meet the on-going deficit. There is no significant Monsoon surge in the coming 5 days, which could bring heavy showers to mitigate the deficiency.

The west coast of peninsular India right from south Gujarat to Kerala will continue to receive Monsoon rain with good showers over Konkan, Goa and Karnataka. But the intensity of rain will remain less over north coastal Maharashtra including Ratnagiri and south coastal Gujarat for the next few days.

According to Skymet, Southwest Monsoon has been making a slow advancement after making a sluggish start this year possible due to the tropical cyclone ‘Nanauk’, which had been controlling the free flow of westerly winds favourable for the Monsoon surge. Skymet is hoping for rain to gradually pick up over Kerala but deficiency might not be mitigated considering that 2014 is an El Nino year. El Nino in India has already made a huge impact on date of onset and may also affect the overall monsoon performance, increasing or decreasing rainfall in a region.

Year Rainfall
2014 (El Nino) 87 mm so far
2013 984 mm
2012 (Evolving El Nino) 311 mm
2011 664 mm
2010 600 mm
2009 (El Nino) 220 mm

Skymet has already explained the impact of El Nino on Monsoon in Mumbai. The monthly average was seen to be really low in El Nino years of 2009 and 2012, as compared to normal monsoon years of 2010, 2011 and 2013, when rainfall in a day was more than 100 mm on several occasions. Click here to know more. 

Latest update on Southwest Monsoon

Southwest Monsoon has advanced further to cover Andhra Pradesh completely and some more parts of Maharashtra and east Madhya Pradesh. Conditions seem favourable for Monsoon covering entire Maharashtra, some more parts of east Madhya Pradesh and east Uttar Pradesh. Southwest Monsoon is also expected to cover remaining parts of north interior Karnataka, Telangana and some more parts of Vidarbha during the next 48 hours.

Southwest Monsoon had completely covered Northeastern states along with adjoining Sub Himalayan West Bengal by the 9th of June but rain was kind of subdued in last one week. However, in the last 24 hours, rainfall has picked up in Northeast India under the influence of a low pressure area over West Bengal and adjoining areas.

The Monsoon surge has been week over Kerala since the 15th of June but Konkan, Goa and Karnataka have been receiving good showers. Heavy showers in Kerala began to make up for less Monsoon rain in the state, reducing the rain deficit from 40% till 10th of June to 27% and further reduced to 22% in last 24 hours.

According to latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, in a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Thursday, Alappuzha received 16 mm, Kannur 19 mm, Punalur received 40 mm of rain, Kottayam 31 mm and Thiruvananthapuram 32 mm of rain.

The Monsoon surge keeps on fluctuating and seems to have increased over Goa and Karnataka in last 24 hours.

Rain in Karnataka

In a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Wednesday Agumbe received 111.2 mm of rain, Karwar 90 mm, Mangalore 8 mm, Honnavar 20 mm and Madikeri 48 mm. Panaji in Goa received 51 mm of rain.

Rain in South India picked up considerably from the 11th of June but this increase in rain still hasn't been able to make up for the deficit in South India.

Deficiency in the National Cumulative Average Monsoon rain, from the 1st to the 19th of June stands at a whopping 42%. On a whole South India is facing a rain deficit of about 24%. Deficiency over coastal Karnataka has reduced to about 28% now. Though Konkan and Goa are receiving continuous rain the deficit still remains at 36%

Southwest Monsoon continues to bring good showers but the deficiency seems to be overriding as the west coast of South India receives very heavy showers, especially in the initial phase of Southwest Monsoon.

Northeast receives good Monsoon rain after over a week

Southwest Monsoon had completely covered Northeastern states along with adjoining Sub Himalayan West Bengal by the 9th of June but rain was kind of subdued in last one week. However, in the last 24 hours, rainfall has picked up in Northeast India, here’s a look…

In Assam Dibrugarh received 71 mm of rain, North Lakhimpur 69 mm, Guwahati 76 mm, Barpeta 25 mm, Tejpur has received 14 mm and Silchar 4 mm.

Rain in other places of Northeast India and adjoining Sub Himalayan West Bengal- Passighat received 8.4 mm, Cherrapunji 101 mm, Imphal 32 mm, Darjeeling 27 mm, Gangtok 15 mm.

The low pressure area over Bangladesh has moved further westward and at present lies over West Bengal and adjoining region. This increase in Monsoon rain over East and Northeast India could be attributed to the trough running from Punjab to northwest Bay of Bengal across east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and the low pressure area.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather system will continue to bring widespread good amounts of Monsoon rain over Northeast India, Gangetic plains, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, east Uttar Pradesh and Chhattisgarh with few very heavy spells over Sub Himalayan West Bengal.

Northeast India is a weather sensitive pocket and is specially known for deluge on account of incessant rains. But in the recent past, the region has been observing below normal rainfall, both in pre-monsoon and Southwest Monsoon season, albeit with few exceptions.

Since Northeast India witnesses heavy downpour during the Monsoon months, these places generally have the capacity to absorb any small deficiency. Monthly average rainfall during Monsoon in India even runs into four digits due to its mountainous terrain with varying heights from valleys to high hills.

East India receives heavy Monsoon showers, mercury drops significantly

Southwest Monsoon, which has already covered entire Odisha, West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and east Uttar Pradesh, advanced further in last 24 hours to cover some more parts of east Uttar Pradesh and entire Chhattisgarh.

In a span of 24 hours since 8 am on Thursday Basirhat in Kolkata received 40 mm of rain, Midnapore 32 mm. Jamshedpur in Jharkhand received 83 mm of rain while Ranchi recorded 72 mm. In east Uttar Pradesh Gorakhpur observed 28 mm of rain, while Jharsuguda in Odisha received 38 mm of rain.

In Chhattisgarh, Bilaspur received 48.4 mm, Pendra 39 mm, Durg 24.4 mm and Raipur 16 mm of rain.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, good rain is expected in these areas in the next 24 to 48 hours and the Monsoon is likely to advance further into some more parts of east Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. Good to heavy showers are likely over Gangetic plains, Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, east Uttar Pradesh and Chhattisgarh with few very heavy spells over Sub Himalayan West Bengal.

Temperatures in entire East India have come down to comfortable levels due to widespread rain. They are now just about normal around 33⁰C. Jamshedpur recorded maximum of 33.8⁰C on Thursday. Jharsuguda was 6⁰C below normal at 31.4⁰C while, Bilaspur was a whopping 9⁰C below normal at 29⁰C.

 

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WEATHER FORECAST FOR MAJOR INDIAN CITIES ON FRIDAY

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Mumbai could receive some light rain on Friday. Temperature in lower forties and high humidity in Delhi could bother people but Kolkata will witness a rainy day as Southwest Monsoon has covered entire West Bengal and making rapid advancement over other parts of East India as well. Here’s a look at the weather forecast for major Indian cities on Friday, 20th June.

Cities Maximum Temperature Minimum Temperature Conditions
Delhi 41°C 29°C A discomfortable day ahead. Thunderstorm is likely at some places in the evening hours.
Mumbai 34°C 28°C Day will remain cloudy with possibility of light rain.
Kolkata 31°C 26°C With overcast skies, frequent showers are possible throughout the day in Kolkata.
Chennai 38°C 30°C Day will be hot and humid. Sky will remain partly cloudy.
Bangalore 30°C 21°C Light Monsoon rain is likely at some places. Day will be cool and pleasant.
Hyderabad 34°C 25°C A hot and uneasy day but thundershowers could bring some relief.

 

Andaman only place to witness excess Monsoon rain till now

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India,  Andaman and Nicobar Islands is witnessing surplus Monsoon rain by over 32% even as rain deficit in other parts of the country is mounting. Andaman is the only place in the country where rainfall is excess by such high percentage.

After Andaman, Rayalaseema is one place where rain has been surplus by about 17%. Rainfall percentage in the northeastern state of Sikkim is also close to normal by about 4%.  Tamil Nadu (17%), south interior Karnataka (16%), Saurashtra and Kutch (16%), are other such regions where the deficit is marginal, below 20%.

States Deficit/Surplus
Andaman +32%
Rayalaseema +17%
Sikkim +4%
Lakshadweep -9%
Delhi & Haryana -6%
South interior Karnataka -16%
Suarashtra & Kutch -16%
Tamil Nadu 17%

Sikkim and Sub Himalayan West Bengal have had an average of 277.8 mm of rain against 267.2 mm. South interior Karnataka has observed 64.4 mm of rain so far against 76.7 mm in the month of June. Rayalaseema, surplus by 17% had an average 53.3 mm of rain against 45.7 mm for the month. Tamil Nadu is 25.9 mm against 31.8 mm and Lakshadweep is 191.4 mm against 210 mm.

Port Blair in Andaman and Nicobar has received approximately 617 mm of rain since the arrival of Southwest Monsoon on the 18th of May. In the month of June it has had 477 mm of rain as opposed to the normal average rainfall figure of 457 mm. In the last 24 hours, Port Blair received only 7 mm of rain. The heaviest rain so far has been 144 mm on 6th June.

Till few days back Andaman had consistently been getting over 100 mm of rain due to multiple cyclonic circulations in the Bay of Bengal, which were not affecting Monsoon rains over Northeast India. Though now, rain figures may not pick up much as the Monsoon surge in the Bay of Bengal is likely to shift towards East and Northeast India, sharply reducing surplus rainfall figure in Andaman as well as in other regions.







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