Skymet weather

Weather forecast for major Indian cities on Tuesday

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather in Delhi on Tuesday will be cool due to cloudy skies and chances of rain. Chennai will be the hottest city, followed by Hyderabad which is expected to remain humid. Bangalore will receive light Monsoon rain.

Here’s a look at the weather forecast for major Indian cities on Tuesday, 24th June.

Cities Maximum Temperature Minimum Temperature Conditions
Chennai 38°C 29°C Hot and humid day time. Sky will remain partly cloudy.
Hyderabad 37°C 26°C A sultry day likely. Thunder clouds may develop in parts.
Kolkata 35°C 28°C Cloudy sky and sultry day. Possibility of light rain
Mumbai 34°C 29°C Breezy evening. Short spells of rain expected in parts.
Delhi 34°C 27°C Sultry day. Chances of rain in pockets.
Bangalore 31°C 21°C Mainly cloudy sky and pleasant day. Rain is likely at some places.

 

Weather forecast for the week in India from 23rd June to 29th June

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather in India is going to be rainy this week with Monsoon covering most parts of the country. Here’s a detailed region wise look at the weather forecast for India:

North India: The weather in North India will change to become rainy this week as the much awaited Monsoon will make an entry in the capital city Delhi. Rain will begin to occur in Delhi and adjoining states of Haryana, Punjab and Uttar Pradesh from Monday onwards, lasting till 25th June. Till the time rain continues and clouding remains, maximums will be in check. Minimums will also drop and settle in the mid-twenties from 30⁰C last week. Temperatures may rise gradually though after rain subsides from 26th June. Till 25th June, Southwest Monsoon usually covers the hills of Uttarakhand but so far that hasn't happened. However, chances of Monsoon arriving in the hills this week are bright of. Here the maximum temperature will settle in the high-twenties.

East and Northeast India: Since a drop in temperature is invariably linked to rainfall and clouding, Northeast India will witness cool days with maximums settling in the low-thirties sometimes even below that. This will be due to the continuous good Monsoon showers being experienced here. After receiving about 700 mm of rain in three days, Cherrapunji will get some relief from the heavy downpour. Unlike in the Northeast, rain in Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Odisha will be light and scattered. While maximums in Bihar and Jharkhand will settle between 30⁰C and 32⁰C on an average, in Uttar Pradesh they will be slighter higher, between 37⁰C and 40⁰C.

Central India: With rain deficit of over 40% in Central India, the mercury has been climbing to record 41⁰C in many parts of Madhya Pradesh and Odisha. On a whole, the maximums in the entire region are seen recording between 36⁰C and 40⁰C. However, the Monsoon line this week is expected to advance and cover more parts of Madhya Pradesh. Rain could commence in the second half of the week in Madhya Pradesh, Marathwada and Vidarbha. This may bring only marginal changes in the temperatures here. Gujarat will continue to be the driest state in India as there aren't any Monsoon showers expected here this week. Lack of rain has pushed up the deficit in Gujarat to to 82%, the highest.

South India: Cloudy to overcast skies in South India will help keep the mercury low. Here rain may reduce from what it was last week but the maximums will still hover around 30⁰C. Nights too will be cool with minimums settling in the lower-twenties. As always, the east coast of South India will witness drier and hotter days with maximums hovering around 38⁰C. Some isolated pockets of interior Andhra Pradesh may even exceed 40⁰C. Rain is expected to increase in the interiors of South India but it will not be enough to cover up the deficit of over 30%. Rain will continue to be subdued in Bangalore, Hyderabad, Mumbai and Chennai. High humidity will further add to the discomfort. Weather in South India on a whole, will be the coolest and the most pleasant despite less rain.

Photo by Ritika Acharya.

Ten days Monsoon forecast

The southwest Monsoon currents are expected to reach the northwest plains in the next 2-3 days. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India normal monsoon rain could be observed till the 26th June over Delhi and adjoining areas, parts of Punjab and Haryana and west Uttar Pradesh. There may be some more rain after this period but activity will be subdued at large.

At the time of writing this article, Monsoon line was near Sultanpur in east Uttar Pradesh. Forecast indicates that during the week, this line will now travel westward and cover entire Uttar Pradesh during the next few days. The cities that would witness their first Monsoon rain are Kanpur and Lucknow.

In Bihar and West Bengal, Monsoon rain would turn subdued as the the low pressure area over Bangladesh and adjoining West Bengal would weaken and there is no weather system developing in the Bay.

In the next ten days, Central India would also come under the influence of the southwesterly winds as Monsoon will cover Madhya Pradesh.

Along the West Coast, Monsoon rain would continue to occur throughout the next ten days but it will lack lack in intensity as there is no weather system that could spur the rain.

During the first five days, Telangana, Seemandhra, Marathwada, Vidarbha and parts of Chhattisgarh will witness subdued Monsoon rain and thereafter rain could pick up in these areas.

According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, in the normal circumstances, during the first ten days after arriving at the Kerala coast, Monsoon advances faster along the West coast than East coast. In next ten days, the Eastern arm of Monsoon advances and covers East coast and parts of East India over east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West Bengal and Jharkhand. Thereafter, both arms of the Monsoon advances to cover the entire country with the western arm moving relatively slower than the eastern arm. So parts of Gujarat especially that of Kutch could witness delay in arrival of Monsoon rain.

However, it is expected that in the next ten days from 23rd June to 1st July, monsoon rain would cover the northern parts of the country including Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, west Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. But going by what has been witnessed in the last ten days, it could be said that overall the Monsoon is 30 per cent deficit till now.

 

Alarmingly deficient Monsoon rain in Mumbai this June

The commercial capital of India, Mumbai is witnessing unforeseen deficit of Monsoon rain this June. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the average rain for Mumbai during June is 500 mm and the city has just observed 87 mm of rain till now. Skymet says that this could be the driest June in Mumbai in last ten years as it is not expected to reach the figure of 216 mm, the minimum Monsoon rain experienced in 2009.

Normally, Monsoon reaches on the 10th of June in Mumbai and fair amounts of rain in excess of 50 mm occurs on some of the days but this year, after reaching the city more than a week after the scheduled onset date of 10th June, Monsoon has left the city high and dry as there has not be such spells till now.

There have been variations in amounts of Monsoon rain in Mumbai in the past few years. More than 1000 mm of rain was received last year in Mumbai during June while 300 mm was received in 2012 and 660 mm in 2011. But the scarcity this year is really alarming for the city.

The subdued Monsoon rain could also be understood from the temperature trend in Mumbai during the month. Mumbai has never witnessed day temperatures consistently settling in the higher thirties but this year from 9th to 11th June, maximum temperatures were seen settling between 37 and 38°C. On 11th June, Mumbai experienced the hottest day of the month, with maximum recording 38°C. Prior to this, the record for the highest maximum temperature was 37.1°C observed on 15th June, 1995.

Similarly minimum temperatures in Mumbai have also been above normal during June. According to the latest weather update, minimums in Mumbai during this time of the year should remain around 26°C but they are still hovering close to 29°C which clearly shows that rain has been subdued in Mumbai this year.

Monsoon Outlook for Mumbai for next four days

We are already in the last week of June but Monsoon currents are yet to pick up in the city. And according to our forecast Monsoon rain will remain subdued in spite of a Monsoon air mass hovering over the city. These Monsoon clouds will certainly help in containing the maximum temperatures.

 

Photograph by Leoboudv

Latest update on Southwest Monsoon

The Monsoon line (Northern limit of Monsoon), after passing through Veraval, Surat, Nashik, Wasim, Damoh, Sultanpur on 21st june, continues to be stagnant. Last week saw a slow progress of both the eastern and the western arm of the Monsoon line however, this week the pace is expected to be speedy along the eastern arm and still quite slow along the western.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, conditions look favorable for the eastern arm to cover entire Uttar Pradesh, i.e. remaining parts of central and west U.P, and also cover capital city Delhi around 25th June. As a result cloudy and rainy weather in Delhi and entire northern plains is expected to continue till the 25th June. Rain activity may decrease over the northern plains from 26th June.

The western arm on the other hand, will make further progress into Madhya Pradesh bringing some rain in the capital city Bhopal, which has been witnessing dry weather for the last five days. Monsoon rain will also pick up in Seemandhra, Telangana, Marathwada and Vidarbha, where Monsoon rain has been little so far. Gujarat will continue to be unlucky in terms of rain as the Monsoon line will just about touch the state, this week too.

The Monsoon surge has been week over Mumbai for over a week now and the last time Mumbai observed some good showers was on 16th June when 32 mm of rain was recorded at Santa Cruz. So far Kerala and Karnataka coast has been the main center of rain activity in the last few days. Though, rainfall will now start to decrease in coastal areas of Karnataka and Kerala, as the monsoon surge is likely to lose its strength.

Heavy showers have lashed West Bengal and Northeast India in the last two days. Rain in Cherrapunji has been between 200 to 350 mm and about 50 to 100 mm in Sub Himalayan West Bengal and Bihar. According to Skymet's forecasts, intensity of rain may reduce over West Bengal and Bihar, while moderate rain with isolated heavy spells will continue in Northeast India for the next five days.

The deficiency in the National Cumulative Average Monsoon rain reduced from a whopping 42% till the 19th June to 36% on 22nd June. Rain deficit reduced on a whole in South India from 24% on 19th June to 20% till 22nd June. Region wise, rain deficit is currently the highest in Central India, of about 47%, whereas the state of Gujarat is reeling under extreme dry weather conditions and the deficit here has mounted to 82% from 78% till 17th June.

“The month of June will leave us with a deficit which will be nearly impossible to cover up. This week too rain will continue in many parts of India but will rarely be of its full strength”, says AVM (Retd) G.P Sharma.

Rain in Delhi to pick up from Monday night; intermittent showers to continue till 25th June

Monsoon is around the corner in Delhi as rain has already started to occur in pockets and is likely to pick up from Monday evening/night, spilling over to Tuesday morning. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather in Delhi is expected to be cloudy all day on Monday and occasional showers could be witnessed at isolated pockets.

With early morning showers reported at Safdarjung Observatory in Delhi on Monday, the minimum slipped by two notches, settling at 28⁰C as opposed to 30⁰C on Sunday morning. Traces of rain were recorded at Safdarjung, Gurgaon, Faridabad and Ayanagar.

The maximum temperature in the city, which had been settling five to six notches above normal till Saturday, witnessed a drop on Sunday evening to record 40⁰C, though still two degrees above the normal average for the month.

But the day temperature in Delhi on Monday is expected to drop significantly and settle close to 35⁰C due to cloudy skies.  This may drop even further by a degree on Tuesday. Till 10:30 am on Monday, the mercury had touched only 29⁰C at Safdarjung and 30⁰C at Palam.

Skymet had earlier (20th June) predicted good amounts of rain in Delhi this week. It was followed by another article on Sunday, 22nd June, where it was said that Monsoon is likely to make an early onset in Delhi with further advancement of Monsoon line into central Uttar Pradesh. Possibilities of an early arrival of Monsoon in Delhi were also discussed in the Monsoon foreshadow released by Skymet Weather in mid-April.

“With cloudy skies expected most of the times, rain in Delhi is likely to continue with varying intensity for the next three days. This is because of a Western Disturbance which is seen moving across the hills of Jammu and Kashmir and a circulation near central Pakistan and adjoining Rajasthan, which is feeding moist southwesterly winds to Delhi”, said AVM (Retd), G.P Sharma.

Further, rain may occur not just in Delhi but also in Punjab, Haryana, north Rajasthan and parts of west Uttar Pradesh, whihc would pull down the temperatures in these states too. Rajasthan has been one of the hottest states in India this summer and the maximum till Friday were seen exceeding 44⁰C.

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