Skymet weather

TOP TEN HOTTEST PLACES IN INDIA

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Nowgong in Madhya Pradesh was the hottest place in India on Thursday with a maximum of 44.5°C. Churu in Rajasthan followed and severe heat wave conditions prevailed in several parts of Rajasthan, adjoining Haryana, Delhi, northwest Madhya Pradesh and some pockets of south west Uttar Pradesh.

Here’s a look at the hottest places in India on 10th of July-

Places State Maximum temperature on Thursday in °C Forecast trend for next 24 hours
Nowgong Madhya Pradesh 44.5 Rise
Churu Rajasthan 44.2 Rise
Palam Delhi 43.5 Rise
Sheopur Madhya Pradesh 43.4 Same
Satna Madhya Pradesh 43.2 Same
Khajuraho Madhya Pradesh 43.0 Same
Agra Uttar Pradesh 43.0 Rise
Banda Uttar Pradesh 43.0 Rise
Jaipur Rajasthan 42.3 Rise
Kota Rajasthan 41.6 Rise

 

Good to heavy amounts of Monsoon rain in Mumbai to continue for next 48 hours

In the last ten days of July, Mumbai received more than 500 mm of rainfall and according to Skymet, more heavy showers could lash the city during the next two days.

This year the month of June has been the driest in over a decade in Mumbai, leaving the city with a rain deficit of over 65%. The total of 87 mm of rain was the third lowest monthly total in last 63 years. However, July began on a very good note.

The Santa Cruz station so far has received 515 mm of rain, with 207 mm of rain recorded on 3rd July alone. Barring one dry day on the 6th of July, rain has been continuous in Mumbai.

In the last 48 hours, the Colaba station received heavy showers of 212 mm whereas, Santa Cruz recorded 97 mm of rain. And in view of good rain and a dense cloud cover, the maximum in Mumbai was 29.8⁰C on Thursday as opposed to 31⁰C on Tuesday. The minimum sustained at 24.6⁰C.

“Weather in Mumbai will continue to be rainy for the next 48 hours as the Monsoon surge has finally gained strength. Rain has been good so far but June left Mumbai with a huge rain deficit. Whether this month’s rainfall will fall below normal or not, is too early to be predicted right now”, says AVM (Retd) G.P Sharma.

The normal rainfall figure for Mumbai in July is 799.7 mm with an average of 23 rainy days. The lowest monthly total rainfall (July) in Mumbai was 628 mm in El Nino year 2012 and the highest was in 2005 when the monthly total reached 1454.5 mm.

Currently the rain deficit in Konkan and Goa is about 57%. In Madhya Maharashtra the deficit remains the highest at 70%. In Vidarbha the deficit is 68% whereas, in Marathwada it is 61%.

Odisha, Andhra, Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha observe rain simultaneously

Central India, which has mostly been dry this Monsoon season, received some good rain on Thursday. East India too, particularly Odisha, observed fair amounts of rain.

A cyclonic circulation over north Andhra Pradesh, south Odisha and adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal was the reason behind the rain in the region.

According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Gopalpur in Odisha received 53.5 mm of rain on Thursday. Other places in the state to have received rain were Bhubaneswar 13 mm, Jharsuguda 14 mm, Sambalpur 29.4 mm and Paradip 24.3 mm.

In Central India, rain was observed in Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha. Durg in Chhattisgarh observed 42.2 mm of rain, Raipur 26 mm Jagdalpur 14 mm and Pendra 10 mm. Akola and Gondia in Vidarbha received 37 mm and 5.2 mm of rain respectively.

Coastal Andhra Pradesh also received some good amounts of rain with Visakhapatnam recording 33 mm and Kalingapatnam 49 mm.

The system in the Bay of Bengal has just appeared and is in the process of getting organized. It is likely to move inland giving more rain to these areas in the next 48 hours. Telangana, Marathwada, and Madhya Maharashtra are also likely to be affected by this system.

Earlier, north coastal Andhra Pradesh, south Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha were observing heat wave conditions, which abated due to this system. And with rain being experienced in these areas, temperatures have dipped further making the weather comfortable.

Latest update on heat wave in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh

Northwest India including Delhi is perishing under rising mercury and high humidity. Severe heat wave conditions continue in several parts of Rajasthan, adjoining Haryana, Delhi, northwest Madhya Pradesh and some pockets of south west Uttar Pradesh. On Thursday, maximum temperatures were 6-9 degrees above normal at Nowgong (44.5⁰C), Churu (44.2⁰C), Delhi-Palam (43.5⁰C), Sheopur (43.4⁰C), Satna (43.2⁰C), Khajuraho(43⁰C) and Agra (43⁰C).

Rajasthan, Gujarat and west Madhya Pradesh still haven’t been enclosed by the northern limit of Monsoon. The Monsoon line has reached north Rajasthan, touching Bikaner, but rain is yet to occur in the parched state. Southwest Monsoon generally covers west Rajasthan by 15th July, therefore cities here are just about 2⁰C above normal. But temperatures in places like Kota and Jaipur (both 7⁰C above normal) in the eastern side should have come down by now.

Rajasthan is still the hottest in the country, recording more than 40⁰C in cities like Kota (41.6⁰C), Jaisalmer (40.5⁰C), Jaipur (42.3⁰C) and Bikaner (41.6⁰C).

Day temperatures are rising above 40⁰C also in areas where Southwest Monsoon has already reached, like in parts of Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh.

Weather in Delhi

Delhi has been longing for good Monsoon rain since the declaration of Southwest Monsoon in North India. Temperature has been rising from 37⁰C on Sunday to 41.3⁰C on Thursday, due to lack of good showers. While maximum at Safdarjung Observatory was 6⁰C above normal average, Palam at 43.5⁰C was 8⁰C above normal.

There could be some relief from the scorching heat as Delhi is likely to receive light rain on late Sunday evening or next morning but Rajasthan and adjoining areas will remain parched.

According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather in Rajasthan and adjoining areas like northwest Madhya Pradesh and Haryana is expected to be hot and dry in the coming days, as the moist south westerlies are reaching only up to southern parts of Rajasthan.

 

Parts of Saurashtra receive rain, conditions favourable for advancement of Monsoon

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Veraval, Surat, Nasik, Aurangabad, Bhopal, Shivpuri, Alwar and Bikaner. We can clearly see in the figure above that the western arm of NLM, passing through Veraval and Surat, in Gujarat, has been stagnant since 15th of June.

Consequently, the state had hardly received any rain till Thursday, when Veraval received 39 mm of rain. Amreli also received 11.2 mm, Bhavnagar 5.5 mm, Surat 3 mm, Baroda 0.6 mm and Rajkot traces of rain. The cumulative deficit in the state has mounted to 93%. Saurashtra and Kutch region are facing a deficit of 84%.

Gujarat could be the driest state

By 15th June, Southwest Monsoon generally covers Saurashtra and north Gujarat. It is true that the progress from Saurashtra to Kutch is generally slow but by 1st of July we observe good rain over Kutch. A poor scenario is in sight for Gujarat as Monsoon rain over the state has been delayed beyond a limit of repair.

In 2013, coastal regions of Kutch and Saurashtra received 64% excess rainfall while rest of Gujarat recorded 31% excess Monsoon rain. Only light rain is in the offing for the state and looking at present scenario it could be the driest state this El Nino year. As have been reiterated by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, a powerful El Nino spells trouble for India, which mostly faces below normal rain and occasionally even drought.

After the Monsoon foreshadow released in April, Skymet came out with its update of long range forecast for Southwest Monsoon 2014 on the 4th of July. According to it, the rainfall figure of 91% for the country as a whole is worrisome as the inbuilt error of -4% increases the chance of drought in the country to 60%.

As can be seen in the picture above, the regional distribution seemed even more alarming, with 80% chances of drought in Northwest India, 75% in Central India and 50% over South India.

Monsoon to cover Gujarat soon

With temperatures around 5⁰C above normal, Gujarat yearns for Monsoon rain. As a precursor to Monsoon onset, the state has started receiving light rain. On Wednesday, maximum temperatures in Ahmedabad and Rajkot were 5⁰C to 6⁰C above normal average at 39.2⁰C and 39⁰C, respectively.

Looking at the temperature profile we can say that temperature here are not exceeding 40⁰C like in east Rajasthan and northwest Madhya Pradesh. This could be attributed to the free flow of moist south westerly winds coming from the sea. But in absence of any obstructions, these winds are not bringing enough rain.

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