The cyclonic circulation presently lying over northwest Bay of Bengal off West Bengal and Odisha coasts is moving in a west/ northwest direction.
This system continues to bring good rain over Central India, which has mostly been dry this Monsoon season. East India too, particularly Odisha, has been observing fair amounts of rain since Thursday.
In Central India, rain was observed in Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha. Durg in Chhattisgarh observed 82.6 mm of rain in last 48 hours. During this time, Raipur also received 87 mm and Jagdalpur 23 mm of rain. Akola and Gondia in Vidarbha received 37 mm and 5.2 mm of rain respectively.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Gopalpur in Odisha received 53.5 mm of rain on Thursday and 5 mm, the next day. Other places in the state to have received rain on Friday were, Chandbali 49.4 mm, Puri 25 mm, Paradip 11 mm, Koraput 18 mm and Cuttack 7 mm.
Coastal Andhra Pradesh also received some good amounts of rain with Visakhapatnam recording 55 mm, Kakinada 28 mm, Kurnool 15 mm and Kalingapatnam 7 mm.
Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Chhattisgarh will continue to receive good Monsoon rain during next 48 hours.
The system in the Bay of Bengal is likely to move inland giving more rain to these areas. Telangana, Marathwada, and Madhya Maharashtra are also likely to be affected by this system.
Earlier, north coastal Andhra Pradesh, south Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha were observing heat wave conditions, which abated due to this system. And with rain being experienced in these areas, temperatures have dipped further making the weather comfortable.
Skymet came out with its 10 days Monsoon forecast on the 2nd of July and the predictions have been more or less accurate. Click here to know more.
As of 2nd July, the northern limit of monsoon (NLM) passed through Veraval, Surat, Nashik, Wasim, Damoh, Lucknow, Bareilly, Ambala and Amritsar. As predicted by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, in the last 10 days the NLM has covered entire Delhi/NCR, rest of Punjab and Haryana.The Monsoon line has reached north Rajasthan, touching Bikaner, but rain is yet to occur in the parched state.
As of 12th July, the Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Veraval, Surat, Indore, Shivpuri, Alwar and Bikaner.
Here’s an outlook for Southwest Monsoon for the next 10 days-
First 3 days (12th, 13th , 14th )
Next 3 days (15th, 16th , 17th )
Last 3 days (18th, 19th , 20th )
In the next 10 days, Monsoon rain in Northeast India will remain confined to the foothills, Sub Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim. Weather activity will be less over Assam Valley and the states of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. Places across the country, being highly rain deficit will see good rain in the coming 10 days. No significant Monsoon system will develop in the Bay or the Arabian Sea.
A full Moon Saturday night is likely to bring high tide and heavy rain in the dream city of Mumbai. Along with heavy rain, on a new Moon and full Moon night we usually witness high tides on account of gravitational force
Since the beginning of July barring one dry day on the 6th of July, Mumbai has been receiving heavy rain and according to latest weather update, more heavy showers could lash the city during the next two days.
Mumbai experienced the driest June in over a decade with just about 87 mm of rain but July seems to have brought real good news with it. In a span of 48 hours from 8.30 am on Wednesday, the Colaba station received heavy showers of 212 mm whereas, Santa Cruz recorded 97 mm of rain. And in the last 24 hours, the Santa Cruz station recorded 108 mm of rain.
The normal rainfall figure for Mumbai in July is 799.7 mm with an average of 23 rainy days. The lowest monthly total rainfall (July) in Mumbai was 628 mm in El Nino year 2012 and the highest was in 2005 when the monthly total reached 1454.5 mm.
“Weather in Mumbai will continue to be rainy for the next 48 hours as the Monsoon surge has finally gained strength. Rain has been good so far but July left Mumbai with a huge rain deficit. Whether this month’s rainfall will fall below normal or not, is too early to be predicted right now”, says AVM (Retd) G.P Sharma.
Rain along the West Coast
Heavy Monsoon rain continues along the west coast as well. In the last 24 hours, Ratnagiri recorded 115 mm of rain, Goa 68 mm, Veraval 41 mm.
In Karnataka, Agumbe received 38.4 mm of rain, Honnavar 50 mm, Karwar 30.4 mm, Madikeri 15.2 mm, Mangalore 23 mm, and Belgaum 4 mm of rain. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the west coast including Mumbai will continue to receive good to heavy ampunts of rain during the next 2 days.
picture courtesy- itimes
Brazil raised the forecast for its 2013-14 maize crop to 78.2 million tonnes from last month's outlook of 77.89 million tonnes, citing better-than-expected yields. The center-west region, the main second crop corn producer, showed a strong increase in productivity estimates,Brazil government crop supply agency said.
Indian sugar futures rose on an improvement in demand from bulk consumers and concerns about production next year due to poor rainfall in top producing western state of Maharashtra. Sugar futures are likely to extend gains in the next session, according to the commodity analysts. Sugar prices were steady at the Vashi spot market.
In June 2014, India`s Soybean meal export drastically reduced to just 2637 tonnes, lowest in the history. Export of soybean meal reduced due to poor availability of soybean coupled with the high prices lead to total disparity in international market according to the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEAI).
This year's French wheat crop is at 36.7 million tonnes, down slightly from 36.8 million in the year 2013, but good crop conditions meant there was scope to raise its initial estimate. Estimate was based on a projected yield of 7.3 tonnes per hectare, against 7.4 tonnes in 2013, and an area of about 5.02 million hectares versus about 4.98 million last year.
It is Monsoon season but there hardly seems to be any rain in Delhi. In the absence of rain, the weather in Delhi has turned so hot and dry that the city is facing heat wave condition. Some pockets of Delhi are reeling under severe heat wave, with maximums recording seven degrees above the normal average.
The week started off on a dry note in Delhi and looked like high temperatures will lead to some thundery build up but sadly that did not happen. Maximums rose from 40⁰C on Monday to 42⁰C on Wednesday. In the last 24 hours, the day temperature at the Palam Observatory recorded 42.4⁰C, which was seven degrees above normal. At Safdarjung the maximum settled five degrees above normal at 40.5⁰C.
Besides the heat wave, Delhi is also experiencing a hot day condition (minimums staying five degrees above normal). The morning minimum on Thursday recorded 30⁰C.
According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, a flow of dry and hot northwesterly winds led to an excessive rise in the temperatures across the city but maximums will not rise any further. However heat wave condition could continue to prevail for another two days. The rise in temperature may trigger some thundershowers during Monday. The rain will however, not be of much help in terms of relief from the hot weather.
“Rain in Delhi is expected on Monday due to a low pressure system formed in the Bay of Bengal. This system is likely to move inland into Central India and change the wind pattern from dry northwesterly to moist southeasterlies”, explains AVM (Retd) G.P Sharma.
Photo by Ritika Acharya.
Weather alert for Madhya Pradesh issued at 15.00 hrs
During the next 1 to 6 hours, light to moderate rain and thundershowers are likely in Betul, Bhopal, Guna, Hoshangabad, Indore, Khandwa, Khargone, Raisen, Ratlam, Sagar, Ujjain and Vidisha districts with strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 60 kmph.
Weather alert for Rajasthan issued at 15.00 hrs
Light to moderate rain and thundershowers are likely in Bhilwara, Chittorgarh, Jhalawar and Kota districts of Rajasthan with strong winds ranging between 40 kmph and 60 kmph during the next 1 to 6 hours.
Weather alert for Maharashtra issued at 14.16 hrs
Intermittent spells of rain with isolated heavy showers are expected in Maharashtra from 12th evening to 15th of July.
Weather alert for Uttarakhand issued at 14.03 hrs
Light to moderate rain and thundershowers are likely at some places over Almora, Bageshwar, Chamoli, Champawat, Joshimath, Nainital and Pithoragarh districts of Uttarakhand during the next 2 to 6 hours.
