Skymet weather

Hopes alive for rain in Delhi

The wait for rain may just end now for Delhiites. Accroding to Skymet meteorology division in India, rain in Delhi is expected in the next three days. There are chances of light rain on the 17th of July after which it is likely to get heavier on the 18th and 19th July.

Though we had predicted rain from 14th July, there has hardly been any activity as the Monsoon trough is far away from Delhi. The distance of Monsoon trough is vital in bringing good amounts of rain in the area.

The last time Delhi observed some rain was on 13th July, when 25.6 mm of rain was recorded at the Safdurgunj Observatory. However, showers were patchy with north and northeast Delhi going dry. Since then there has hardly been any rain in the city.

Meanwhile, the day temperatures in Delhi are settling in the mid-thirties and are expected to remain the same for another couple of days. A drop in maximum is expected on the 18th and 19th July due to chances of rain. The humidity is however, going to remain high around 90% during the morning hours.

On an average, Delhi receives 214 mm of rain in the month of July but till the 14th of July Delhi has received 37.9 mm of rain only. It is likely to pick up in the coming 3 to 4 days.

Mumbai stands the chance of recording all time highest rain this El Nino year

941 mm of rain till now in the month of July proves that Mumbai remains unaffected by the effects of El Nino.

This year the month of June has been the driest in over a decade in Mumbai, leaving the city with a rain deficit of over 65%. The total of 87 mm of rain was the third lowest monthly total in last 63 years. However, July began on a very good note with heavy spells of more than 100 mm of rain on four occasions and 207 mm of rain recorded on 3rd July alone. Barring one dry day on the 6th of July, rain has been continuous in Mumbai.

Weather in Mumbai will continue to be rainy as the Monsoon surge has finally gained strength. In the last 24 hours, the city recorded 174 mm of rain and more rain is in the offing, particularly for the next 48 hours. According to latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Mumbai also stands a good chance for catching up with the huge rain deficit left behind by June.

With half the month still left, it will not be surprising if Mumbai touches the all-time highest rainfall of 1454.5 mm for July, recorded in 2005.

We can thus conclude that Mumbai remains unaffected by El Nino, which affects the overall Monsoon performance in India, including onset, periodic coverage and withdrawal. In fact, this year the trend followed by Southwest Monsoon has been abnormal or probably unique. Rain actually decreased in major cities right after Southwest Monsoon ushered in. Click here to know more.

 

Typhoon Rammasun crosses Philippines, enters South China Sea

Rammasun, the first major typhoon of the season to affect Philippines, made landfall near Legazpi City on the country's east coast on Tuesday evening.

Locally known as Glenda, the typhoon is presently positioned at 41.2⁰N Latitude and 120.3⁰E Longitude. The storm is moving west/north westwards at a speed of 25 to 30 kmph, sustaining winds of 170 kmph and gusting to about 200 kmph.

After making landfall, the typhoon weakened and is likely to enter South China Sea and intensify further from Category 2 to 3 in a span of 2 days and threaten the coast of Vietnam and South East China.

Aftermath of landfall

The typhoon was the equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane at the time of landfall and led to evacuation of thousands of people across the country. The typhoon also killed at least 10 people as it churned across the archipelago uprooting trees and power lines leading to electrocutions and blackouts.

Many areas have already experienced the worst of the storm and the capital Manila remains at risk of storm surges. The eye of the storm was just about 25 km away from Manila and the city has been receiving heavy rain since Tuesday. Manila observes flooding even with light rain and if showers are brought by a typhoon, the city will definitely have to bear the brunt of severe flooding and even landslides. Even the central Philippines province of Leyte which was devastated by Typhoon Haiyan last year has not been spared.

Richard Gordon, chairman of the Philippine National Red Cross, told local media that minimal damage came upon the capital. Rescue staffs are still trying to help people trapped by fallen debris in Batangas City.

picture courtesy- CIMSS

 

Forecast of more heavy rain in Uttarakhand, Char Dham Yatra disrupted

Moderate to heavy rain and thundershowers are likely at some places in Uttarakhand from the evening of 15th till 18th July, 2014. Very heavy rain is also expected at some places.

This was our alert given for Uttarakhand on 12th July and the weather panned out exactly as we had predicted. Heavy rain is being observed in the state since yesterday. In a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on TuesdayNainital received 110 mm of rain, Mukteshwar 79 mm, Pauri Garhwal 68 mm, Champawat 52 mm, Pithoragarh 45 mm, Uttarkashi 37 mm,Mussourie 32 mm, Joshimath 30 mm and Pant Nagar 36 mm of rain.

The weather is expected to remain the same till 18th July. Moderate to heavy rain will be observed in Uttarakhand during this period. Kumaon region consisting of Pithoragarh, Champawat, Nainital, Almora and Udhamsingh Nagar districts is likely to receive the bulk of the rain.

Meanwhile, high alert has been sounded in the state. The Char Dham Yatra has been disrupted due to landslides on the Rudraprayag-Gaurikund highway and the 22 km long Sonprayag-Kedarnath trek in Rudraprayag district. In the next 2-3 days, good amount of rain (30-65mm) is expected on the Char Dham route and Hemkund Sahib.

It was during the beginning of the Char Dham Yatra on 16th June 2013 that very heavy rain and cloudburst caused severe flooding in the state. About 5000 people including pilgrims were killed in this calamity.

Twelve out of thirteen districts in Uttarakhand bore the brunt of the fury. Rudraprayag, Chamoli Uttarkashi and Pithoragarh were the worst affected districts. The Kedarnath Temple, one of the famous temples of Lord Shiva and part of the Char Dham Yatra was also damaged.

Turmeric| Indian turmeric futures rose despite a revival in monsoon rains.

Indian turmeric futures rose despite a revival in monsoon rains in key producing southern states. Hybrid turmeric prices declined by Rs 800 per quintal at Erode markets due to inferior quality. Traders will get fresh orders from North India by mid-August then there is possibility of increase in prices for the quality turmeric.

Soybean| Indian soyoil futures fell, tracking weak overseas markets.

Indian soyoil futures fell, tracking weak overseas markets, while the soybean contract dropped because of poor demand for Indian soymeal.  Soybean futures are likely to open higher in the next session as sowing has been delayed in top producing state of Madhya Pradesh due to scanty rainfall, said the commodity analysts.

Maize| Brazil's maize production in the 2013-2014 year is expected.

Brazil's maize production in the 2013-2014 year is expected to drop significantly from the previous year, down about 11 per cent to 72 million tonnes. With global corn supply is expected to exceed demand in 2013-2014 year, this is a pragmatic reaction fromBrazil's corn producers.Brazil is the major corn producing country in the world.

Light to moderate rain at many places is likely over Ahmedabad, Anand, Banaskantha, Bharuch, Bhavnagar, Dahod, Gandhinagar, Himmatnagar, Jamnagar, Kheda, Mehsana, Nadiad, Narmada, Panchmahal, Patan, Rajkot, Sabarkantha, Surat, Surendranagar, Tapi and Vadodara districts of Gujarat during the next 2 to 6 hours.







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