After a really long time all states of North India i.e. Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Delhi, west Rajasthan and west Uttar Pradesh are expected to receive good showers on the 28th and 29th of July.
As the western arm of the Monsoon trough is moving northwards, it will rain over North India including Rajasthan and west Uttar Pradesh. Scattered rain is likely across the region for next 2 to 3 days.
Meanwhile,the Southwest Monsoon remained active over Uttrakhand, Gujarat and east Rajasthan. Rainfall figures in a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Saturday:-
In Gujarat, Bhuj recorded 54.2 mm of rain, Ahmedabad 81.3 mm, Bhavnagar 20.2 mm, Idar 17 mm, Okha 58 mm.
East Rajasthan also received good showers with Kota recording 107 mm, Churu 11 mm, Sawai Madhopur 50 mm.
The cumulative national rain deficit in Northwest India now stands at 38%. Monsoon in India this year has been extremely weak in terms of both intensity and coverage, particularly in northwestern parts of India.
The month of June was very gloomy for the entire country as the cumulative rain deficit mounted to 43% and Northwest made a major contribution to this deficiency. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the cumulative deficit at the end of July is estimated to be around 20%. The analogue analysis of the past data between 1877 and 2013 reveals that there were only 2 years (1877 and 2002) when there was a deficit of 30%. Both these years were El Nino years, experiencing severe drought.
After a sweltering Saturday with maximum rising 3⁰C above normal at 37.5⁰C, Delhiites woke up to a cloudy and rainy Sunday morning. Though only few places received light rain but it brought some relief to the residents of the city who had been largely discomforted by the high humidity levels since the past few days.
The western arm of the Monsoon trough is moving northwards and tomorrow intensity of rain is likely to increase. The system will bring rain to entire North India, Indo Gangetic plains, Rajasthan and parts of East India.
Earlier Skymet had highlighted that Delhi has almost been dry this Monsoon season with 40% of rain deficit being observed in June. The month of July looks even worse as the deficit over the sub-division of Delhi and Haryana stands at 54% and there has been only two days of significant rain in the city.
So far Delhi has observed 101 mm of rain against the monthly average of 214 mm. 57 mm and 26 mm of rain on the 17th and 13th of July, respectively, has immensely contributed to this number. Rest of the days have largely been dry, with very light or no rain.
And with only over a week left for the month to end, this deficit does not look to narrow down greatly though the city will receive some rain during next 2 to 4 days.
According to latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, we expect Delhi to observe some good rain during August and September however, the deficit may still persist.
