Fresh Monsoon System To Form Over Bay Of Bengal, Monsoon Retreat From Central Parts May Be Delayed
Image- AI-Skymet
The remnant of the earlier low-pressure area now lies as a weak circulation over Marathwada in the mid-tropospheric levels. In association with this system, scattered rain and thundershower activity will go on over Vidarbha, Marathwada, Madhya Maharashtra, and Telangana for the next 2–3 days. In the meantime, another weather system is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal (BoB). The monsoon activity will continue over the eastern and central parts of the country.
As inferred from the weather models, there is a trail of monsoon systems likely to enter BoB during the remaining days of this month. This will keep the monsoon active, without much interruption, over the eastern, central, and western parts of the country. The prolonged stay of these systems may stretch the monsoon beyond the normal dates over central parts of the country. The extended track of these weather phenomena may take the rains to even those parts where the monsoon stands withdrawn. Case in point pertains to Rajasthan and parts of the northern plains where the monsoon exited earlier than the scheduled dates.
A well-marked cyclonic circulation is lying over the Arakan Coast of Myanmar, just south of the Gulf of Martaban. This may become a low-pressure area over the same region by tomorrow. Subsequently, it is expected to enter Northeast BoB on 20th Sep and later shift to North BoB the next day. This weather pattern will keep close proximity to the coastline and meander over the sea itself, between 22nd and 24th Sep 2025. There is a likelihood of another circulation entering BoB, akin to the previous one, following a similar track. It is expected to get merged with the pre-existing circulation and together become a strong system over North BoB.
The model precision weakens with a lead time of over 4–5 days. But, the likely development needs to be tracked closely. The prediction will be more authentic after the low-pressure area surfaces over BoB. As per the initial assessment, the system may have the potential to travel deep over central and western parts of the country during the fag end of the month. A possible interaction with the westerly system may result in the retreated rains revisiting the farthermost parts of the country yet again. This may delay the exit of the southwest monsoon from the core monsoon zone of the country beyond the scheduled dates.
Delhi Weather: Repeat Weather Activity Today For Delhi : Dry Weekend Ahead
Mumbai Weather: Light Rainfall Over Mumbai For Next One Week: Monsoon Withdrawal Unlikely In September
