The effect of Western Disturbances will now be confined to the higher reaches of the Himalayan region in contrast to winters when their effect is widely experienced in the northwest plains. Chance of northwest India begetting any rains from Western Disturbances turns bleak which is not unusual for this time of the year.
Summer conditions in the north (except hills), northwest, and Gangetic plains, central and south India are on the prowl. Maximum temperatures in Delhi are above average and would continue to remain so during the next two days. Minimum temperatures in Delhi will remain in mid-twenties.
Likelihood of rain in Delhi during the next few days is pinned on the progress of a cyclonic circulation that is likely to approach the region from west Rajasthan. But thunder activity with dust storm post afternoon could not be ruled out over northwest plains as well as the National Capital region.
Some parts of Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan are witnessing below average day temperatures due to a cyclonic circulation over Rajasthan. The weather system was induced due to the Western Disturbance that just crossed the Western Disturbance. Another cyclonic circulation is in the offing, pushing day temperatures near normal for the remaining days of April. Cloudy skies will block radiation, dissuading temperatures to rise. But temperatures over places with clearer skies in the region will be approaching 40 degrees.
Rains are set to rise over Jammu & Kashmir where many places are expected light to moderate rainfall during the next two days. Rainfall will also percolate to Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand gradually.
Rain will also occur at one or two places in the east over Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and over at many places in northeast India during the next two days. A trough of low pressure area runs for northeast India to south Peninsula. Moisture laden southwesterly winds from the Bay of Bengal are meeting this trough. These winds are also bringing in rain over Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh. These areas will continue to get rain at one or two places over the next couple of days.
Central and east India will have hot days. Madhya Pradesh (except northeast), southeast Uttar Pradesh and Bihar are seeing day temperatures in lower forties. The situation is unlikely to change in the next two days albeit they may rise one or two degrees in central parts of Madhya Pradesh and south Uttar Pradesh.