Skymet weather

Typhoons In Western Pacific: Ceases to affect Southwest Monsoon

July 18, 2015 7:30 PM |

 

Path of Nangka and Halola

Updated on July 18, 2015 07:30 PM (IST): Typhoons In Western Pacific ceases to affect Southwest Monsoon

Nanga made landfall in Japan, far away from the Indian coast and now Halola follows its path. Therefore, Southwest Monsoon has revived in India and is bringing good showers in most parts of the country.

Updated on July 17, 2015 02:30 PM (IST): Nangka to make landfall in Japan in 36 hours

Typhoon Nangka made a landfall in the Japanese island of Shikoku on Thursday night. It had earlier intensified into a Category 4 storm, but after gaining latitude it weakened into a Category 1 storm before making the landfall. It made a second landfall after seven hours in Kurashiki city, Okayama prefecture.

In wake of the typhoon, the Pacific led Japanese authorities warned more than 350,000 people to evacuate their homes. The storm brought very heavy showers in Japan. More than 700 mm of rain has been recorded at few stations of the country. More flash flooding and landslides cannot be ruled out. The system will head for northern parts of Japan after crossing the ocean.

Typhoon Halola

The typhoon Halola is also following the same track as Nangka. It is likely to bring threat to the same areas of Japan after a breather of 3 days.

 

Updated on July 15, 2015 03:40 PM (IST): Nangka to make landfall in Japan in 36 hours

Typhoon Nangka

Typhoon Nangka is presently moving in north-northwest direction as Category 2 storm. It is expected to make a landfall over Japanese Islands during next 36 hours.

According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the system will lose its strength right before hitting land and would possibly make landfall as Category 1 storm. Thereafter, it will move across the islands and will again enter the open waters weakening gradually.

Typhoon Halola

Tropical storm Halola continues to travel in open waters of western Pacific Ocean. The system has gained more strength but is moving at a slow pace. According to Skymet, typhoon is expected to intensify into Category 2 storm during the next 48 hours and will further strengthen into Category 3 storm in another 24 hours.

With lot of sea travel left, Halola has potential to turn into Category 4 storm as well. It will at least take one weak to make a landfall over any land mass. Skymet predicts that it will either hit Korean coast of Japanese islands.

 

Updated on July 14, 2015 05:00 PM (IST): Nangka to make landfall in Japan after 3 days

The tropical storm Chan-hom has fizzled out but Nanga seems to be gaining strength. A fresh tropical storm named Halola is also gaining strength in the western Pacific. Here's a look at the latest update on the storms.

Typhoon Nangka

Nangka continues to gain strength and is expected to make landfall over the Japanese islands after 3 days. It remains as a Category 3 storm but could strike the islands as a Category  2 storm.

Typhoon Halola

Tropical storm Halola has strengthened into a Category 1 typhoon and seems to be following a similar track as Nangka. But, it will take about a week to reach the Japanese islands.

 

Updated on July 13, 2015 07:00 PM (IST): Nangka eyeing Japan followed by fresh tropical storm Halola 

Tropical storms in western Pacific ocean continue to impact Southwest Monsoon over India. In addition to these, a fresh tropical storm Halola can be seen developing.

In view of this, no significant weather systems are forming over Bay of Bengal resulting in less rainfall over India. Let us have a look at the movement of the storms in the ocean.

Tropical storm Chan-hom

After making landfall over the island city of China, tropical storm Chan-hom has given heavy to very heavy rain over the Korean Peninsula. It is now expected to bring heavy showers over southeastern parts of Russia Monday onwards.

Typhoon Nangka

After losing strength over the weekend, Typhoon Nangka regained its lost intensity and is expected to gain some more strength during next couple of days. At present, it is Category 3 typhoon and continues to travel over open waters around northwest of Guam.

The typhoon is expected to hit Japan’s four main islands during the latter part of the week. According to weather agencies, on Monday 5 pm by Japenese time Nangka was 1000 miles south-southwest of Tokyo.

Tropical storm Halola

Typhoon Nangka is being followed by another tropical storm Halola. The system is presently moving over open waters of West Pacific ocean. As per Skymet, the tropical storm has the potential to intensify into a Category 4 typhoon.

 

Updated on July 12, 2015 3:00 PM (IST): Chan-hom headed for Korea, Nangka eyeing Japan

Chan-hom has weakened to a tropical storm after making a brief landfall near Shanghai on Saturday. Cha-hom is now likely to move rapidly in the north-northeast direction. It is likely to dissolved after reaching North Korea.

Meanwhile, Typhoon Nangka has also weakened to a Category 1 typhoon in the Western Pacific Ocean, and is currently spotted well southeast of Chan-hom. As of now, Nangka is over open waters. But later in the week, it may pose a threat to some parts of Japan. Earlier Nangka did become a super typhoon for a short while.

Updated on July 11, 2015 12:00 PM (IST): Thousands of people evacuated from the Southeast China Coast

The Chinese government has evacuated more than 800,000 people from the coastal areas of Zhejiang province, in view of the typhoon Chan-hom. Hundreds of flights have been cancelled.

Chan-hom will just brush the coast and not move inland. It will then re-curve and move towards the Korean Peninsula as a Category 1 storm.

 

Updated on July 10, 2015 8:00 PM (IST): Chan-hom to brush through Southeast China Coast in next 24 hours

The tropical storm Chan-hom is shifting closer to the Southeast China Coast as a Category 3 storm. It could make landfall over extreme  Southeast China Coast near Fujian and Zhejiang province in another 24 hours. It will just brush the coast and not move inland. Therefore, Chan-hom will not bring much damage. It will then re-curve and move towards the Korean Peninsula as a Category 1 storm.

Nangka remains in the open sea and seems to be heading for Japan. Meanwhile, Linfa has weakened into a low pressure area.

 

Updated on July 9, 2015 5:00 PM (IST): Linfa makes landfall near Hong Kong

A trio of tropical storms has been churning across the Pacific Ocean this week.

Severe Tropical Storm Linfa has made landfall over Guangdong Province, which borders Hong Kong and Macau. It packed winds to the tune of about 110 kmph near its centre before hitting the Southeast China Coast. Linfa is weakening now, but is still capable of bringing good rain over Southeast China Coast.

Meanwhile, Chan-hom will hit the Southeast China Coast within next 2 days as a Category 3 storm, a little above the landfall position of Linfa. It will then re-curve towards the Korean Peninsula.

With Linfa making landfall and the other two storms moving far away, Southwest Monsoon has been gaining strength.

Updated on July 8, 2015 2:00 PM (IST): Two storms will make landfall in Southeast China Coast within 3 days

The tropical storm Linfa could make landfall over the Southeast China Coast within next 24 hours. Earlier the storm was moving towards Taiwan, but it changed its track on Tuesday.

The Category 1 storm Chan-hom is closely following Linfa. It is likely to strengthen into a Category 4 storm within next 48 hours and could make landfall after 72 hours as a Category 3 storm over Southeast China Coast.

Nangka will skirt away from Japan and move northwards in the open sea. This storm will not affect China.

Southwest Monsoon will gain strength only inch towards normal only after July 11. Click full story here

 

Updated on July 7, 2015 4:00 PM (IST): Linfa changes track; Southwest Monsoon still below normal

The tropical storm Linfa is changing track and moving towards Southeast China Sea. Earlier the storm was moving towards Taiwan and seemed like it would make landfall over there. However, it has taken a recurve and Linfa is now moving towards China. Not much change has been noticed in the paths of the other two storms.

Situation in the Indian Ocean remains the same. Monsoon showers are still below normal as the Monsoon current is still under the grip of the typhoons in the western Pacific. Southwest Monsoon will gain strength only after the storms move far enough from the Indian seas, around July 10.

 

Updated on July 5, 2015 5:00 PM (IST): Tropical storms in western Pacific gain strength, continue to affect Monsoon in India

Several tropical storms in western Pacific which have led to the weakening of Southwest Monsoon continue to intensify and gain strength. With this, we do not expect Monsoon current in India to revive any time soon. Let us have a look at the current position of the storms.

Tropical Storm Linfa

The tropical storm Linfa is presently crossing Luzon and is now expected to come out in open waters by early hours of Monday morning. It is expected to move in north direction towards Taiwan. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the tropical storm is expected to weaken into a tropical depression by Friday afternoon.

Tropical Storm Chan-hom

Tropical storm Chan-hom is passing near Guam, Rota, Tinian, Saipan accompanied with heavy rains and squally winds. It is expected to track northwestwards and may threaten Japanese islands, Taiwan and Eastern China.

Tropical Storm Nangka

Tropical storm Nangka is presently travelling westwards and is about to enter Micronesia, which is 115 miles east of Enewetak Atoll.

 

Updated on July 4, 2015 2:00 PM (IST): Tropical storms in western Pacific led to the weak phase of Southwest Monsoon

Southwest Monsoon in India is going through a weak phase at the moment. This could be attributed to all the tropical storms becoming typhoons in the western Pacific.

Tropical Storm Linfa

The tropical depression ten has intensified into a tropical storm named Linfa. Tropical Storm Linfa threatens to cause flooding across northern Luzon Island of the Philippines. It is centered around Latitude 15.9°N and Longitude 124.2°E. Linfa is moving in the northwest direction and could hit northern parts of Philippines in another 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Chan-hom

Linfa is being followed by the tropical storm Chan-hom, presently centered at Latitude 12.4°N and Longitude 148.4°E. The storm is gradually strengthening, sustaining wind speed of 85 kmph. Wind gusts could howl up 100 kmph near the center of the storm. Chan-hom could intensify into a super typhoon and could make landfall after 5 to 6 days, anywhere from Shanghai in China to the Korean Peninsula or even Japan. At present the storm has brought inclement weather in the Guam islands.

Tropical Storm Nangka

In close proximity to Chan-hom is the third storm called Nangka. This storm is lying at about Latitude 9.8°N and Longitude 169.7°E, sustaining wind speeds of about 75 kmph. This storm will keep gathering strength and have a long seatravel of about 6 days. Nangka will follow an almost similar path as that of Chan-hom, with a gap of about 3 days. It will not become a super typhoon as the former storm (Chan-hom) will consume all the energy.

The threat zone is uncertain at present and both Chan-hom and Nangka could bring destructive winds, heavy rain causing floods and strong winds over Shanghai, Korean Peninsula or Japan. Meanwhile, Linfa will get consumed by Chang-hom by July 8.

All the three storms are affecting the wind pattern over the Indian subcontinent. Accordingly, Southwest Monsoon is going through a weak phase. Monsoon rain will pick up in India only after July 14.

 

Updated on July 2, 2015 3:35 PM (IST): Intense Typhoons to keep Southwest Monsoon subdued

 Monsoon is a synoptic scale phenomenon. The four month-long Monsoon season is very important for the Indian agriculture and economy.

The Monsoon drivers over the Indian sub-continent include the Monsoon trough and the offshore trough. Depressions and low pressure areas in both the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal also influence the performance of Monsoon.

The weather systems that have influenced Monsoon 2015 so far are:

1. The deep depression in the Arabian Sea
2. Low pressure area in the Bay of Bengal
3. The offshore trough, which is still bringing sufficient rains in Konkan & Goa and Coastal Karnataka. The weakening of the system has left Kerala deprived of good Monsoon showers.

Monsoon in India generally gets influenced by Typhoons in the western Pacific. Right now the Pacific Ocean is very active. There is a tropical storm called Chan-hom and an invest area, in close proximity. Another weather system in the western Pacific is the tropical depression ten, close to Philippines.

The tropical storm called Raquel in the Southern Hemisphere will be moving further away and not affect the Southwest Monsoon much.

Typhoons affecting Southwest Monsoon

The tropical depression ten could intensify into a Category 1 storm within next 3 days, but it will just skirt around Philippines. The other storm Chan-hom is gathering strength and is likely to become a super typhoon in next 4 to 5 days.

Both the storms are lying in close proximity - one is near Philippines and the other is going toward Southeast China and Korean Peninsula. Tropical depression ten will eventually be consumed by the tropical storm Chan-hom.

These weather systems are affecting the Monsoon surge in the Bay of Bengal and not allowing any weather system to sustain energy. The wind pattern in the Indian subcontinent is being affected, thereby, no weather system is likely to come up in the Bay of Bengal in the coming days. We do expect an in situ weather system to develop in East India, which will bring Monsoon rain only in East and North India. Click here to read the Weekly Monsoon forecast.

Monsoon seems to have taken a backseat now and will revive strength only after the first half of the month. Monsoon activity will be restored only after the typhoons move away and become insignificant.

Image credit- livemint

 






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